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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Evan Dunham won · U-DEC R3
Elo1385
Evan Dunham
Elo1491

Evan DunhamvsRick GlennUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · Saturday, September 17, 2016Hidalgo, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Evan Dunham won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Evan Dunham wins(75.1%)

Actual result: Evan Dunham wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Evan Dunham at -340 American odds

+$29 profit

$129 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Evan Dunham
Red Corner
VS
Rick Glenn
Blue Corner
-340
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
1385
Elo
1491
44
Age
27
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'0"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Evan DunhamL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Ross Pearson · Jul 15
W
vs Joe Lauzon · Dec 15
L
KOvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Apr 18
L
KOvs Francisco Trinaldo · Sep 18
L
SUBvs Herbert Burns · Jun 20
latest
Rick Glenn
oldest →
W
vs Phillipe Nover · Feb 17
W
vs Gavin Tucker · Sep 17
L
vs Myles Jury · Dec 17
W
vs Dennis Bermudez · Jul 18
L
vs Kevin Aguilar · Nov 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Evan DunhamMetricRick Glenn
5.33
Strikes / min
—
3.54
Strikes absorbed / min
—
61%
Strike defense
—
1.82
TDs / 15 min
—
79%
Takedown defense
—
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1538 vs 1500Strikes63.5 vs —Takedowns1.4 vs —Sub Atts0.81 vs —Form0.7 vs 0.0
Evan DunhamRick Glenn

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Evan Dunham(10 fights)Rick Glenn(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -106.5|Blue +106.5
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red -46.9|Blue +46.9
Grappler Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Evan Dunham

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17

Rick Glenn

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2