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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Eryk Anders won · U-DEC R3

Elo1512

Elo1395

Eryk AndersvsMarkus PerezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · Saturday, December 9, 2017Fresno, California, USA

Official fight result

Eryk Anders won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEryk Anders: Well-roundedvsMarkus Perez: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Eryk Anders wins(72.5%)

Actual result: Eryk Anders wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Eryk Anders at -470 American odds

+$21 profit

$121 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Markus Perez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Eryk Anders (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Eryk Anders

Red Corner

Markus Perez

Blue Corner

-470

(82%)

Vegas Odds

+375

(21%)

1512

Elo

1395

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eryk Anders

oldest →

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 23

vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 24

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Aug 25

vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26

latest

Markus PerezL3 streak

oldest →

vs Andrew Sanchez · Aug 18

SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 19

vs Wellington Turman · Nov 19

KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Oct 20

vs Dalcha Lungiambula · Jan 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eryk AndersMetricMarkus Perez

3.44

Strikes / min

2.60

4.03

Strikes absorbed / min

3.72

50%

Strike defense

52%

1.83

TDs / 15 min

0.81

80%

Takedown defense

77%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.59evenly matched on net striking-1.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Eryk AndersMarkus Perez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Eryk Anders(10 fights)Markus Perez(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +117.4|Blue -117.4

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Eryk AndersTargetMarkus Perez

By target zone

53% acc · 78%

Head

31% acc · 40%

73% acc · 20%

Body

82% acc · 47%

50% acc · 1%

Leg

100% acc · 13%

By position

46% acc · 33%

Distance

38% acc · 50%

62% acc · 30%

Clinch

79% acc · 37%

64% acc · 37%

Ground

57% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Eryk Anders rounds

even

Markus Perez rounds

Round 1Eryk Anders edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control1:57

8Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 2Eryk Anders edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns1

Control1:35

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Eryk Anders edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control4:18

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

79 / 141

Sig Strikes

30 / 60

55.3%

Sig Str %

44.7%

104 / 171

Total Strikes

41 / 72

2 / 4

TDs

2 / 5

50%

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

7:50

Ctrl Time

0:49

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Markus Perez	8 / 22	12 / 27	2 / 3	1
1	Eryk Anders	16 / 32	22 / 38	0 / 1	0
2	Markus Perez	19 / 29	20 / 30	0 / 2	0
2	Eryk Anders	39 / 69	42 / 72	1 / 2	0
3	Markus Perez	3 / 9	9 / 15	0 / 0	0
3	Eryk Anders	24 / 40	40 / 61	1 / 1	0

Eryk Anders

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights19

Markus Perez

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7