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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Eryk Anders won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1512

Elo1502

Eryk AndersvsKyle DaukausUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · Saturday, December 3, 2022Orlando, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Eryk Anders won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:45

Style matchupEryk Anders: Well-roundedvsKyle Daukaus: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Kyle Daukaus wins(56.5%)

Actual result: Eryk Anders wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kyle Daukaus at -230 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Eryk Anders is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Kyle Daukaus has lost 60% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Eryk Anders

Red Corner

Kyle Daukaus

Blue Corner

+195

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-230

(70%)

1512

Elo

1502

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'2"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eryk Anders

oldest →

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 23

vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 24

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Aug 25

vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26

latest

Kyle Daukaus

oldest →

SUBvs Jamie Pickett · Feb 22

KOvs Roman Dolidze · Jun 22

KOvs Michel Pereira · Aug 25

SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Nov 25

KOvs Bo Nickal · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eryk AndersMetricKyle Daukaus

3.44

Strikes / min

3.32

4.03

Strikes absorbed / min

2.90

50%

Strike defense

42%

1.83

TDs / 15 min

2.08

80%

Takedown defense

82%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

2.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.59Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap+0.42

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Eryk AndersKyle Daukaus

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Eryk Anders(10 fights)Kyle Daukaus(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.1|Blue -10.1

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Eryk AndersTargetKyle Daukaus

By target zone

39% acc · 55%

Head

25% acc · 38%

100% acc · 29%

Body

89% acc · 22%

80% acc · 16%

Leg

100% acc · 41%

By position

42% acc · 47%

Distance

46% acc · 95%

75% acc · 12%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

65% acc · 41%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Eryk Anders rounds

even

Kyle Daukaus rounds

Round 1Eryk Anders edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control0:58

Knockdowns1

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Eryk Anders edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control1:28

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:38Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

49 / 94

Sig Strikes

37 / 79

54%

Sig Str %

38.5%

97 / 159

Total Strikes

38 / 83

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 8

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:26

Ctrl Time

0:44

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kyle Daukaus	33 / 63	33 / 63	0 / 2
1	Eryk Anders	29 / 62	36 / 75	1 / 1
2	Kyle Daukaus	4 / 16	5 / 20	0 / 6
2	Eryk Anders	20 / 32	61 / 84	0 / 0

Eryk Anders

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights19

Kyle Daukaus

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights8