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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Khalil Rountree Jr. won · U-DEC R3

Elo1512

Elo1502

Eryk AndersvsKhalil Rountree Jr.UFC Prediction Result

UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · Saturday, April 13, 2019Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Khalil Rountree Jr. won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEryk Anders: Well-roundedvsKhalil Rountree Jr.: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Eryk Anders wins(61.0%)

Actual result: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Eryk Anders at -185 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Eryk Anders is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Khalil Rountree Jr. has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Eryk Anders has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Eryk Anders

Red Corner

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Blue Corner

-185

(65%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1512

Elo

1502

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eryk Anders

oldest →

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 23

vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 24

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Aug 25

vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26

latest

Khalil Rountree Jr.

oldest →

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23

KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23

KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24

vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eryk AndersMetricKhalil Rountree Jr.

3.44

Strikes / min

3.88

4.03

Strikes absorbed / min

4.33

50%

Strike defense

49%

1.83

TDs / 15 min

0.00

80%

Takedown defense

58%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.59evenly matched on net striking-0.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Eryk AndersKhalil Rountree Jr.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Eryk Anders(10 fights)Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +9.5|Blue -9.5

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.5|Blue -1.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Eryk AndersTargetKhalil Rountree Jr.

By target zone

19% acc · 75%

Head

29% acc · 33%

57% acc · 25%

Body

65% acc · 19%

Leg

84% acc · 48%

By position

24% acc · 100%

Distance

52% acc · 95%

0% acc

Clinch

Ground

33% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Eryk Anders rounds

even

Khalil Rountree Jr. rounds

Round 1Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:27

Knockdowns0

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:08Control

4Knockdowns

Round 3Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 69

Sig Strikes

79 / 157

20.3%

Sig Str %

50.7%

19 / 72

Total Strikes

83 / 162

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:27

Ctrl Time

1:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Khalil Rountree Jr.	24 / 42	24 / 42	0 / 0
1	Eryk Anders	3 / 14	3 / 14	0 / 0
2	Khalil Rountree Jr.	25 / 54	29 / 59	0 / 0
2	Eryk Anders	2 / 15	3 / 16	0 / 1
3	Khalil Rountree Jr.	30 / 61	30 / 61	0 / 0
3	Eryk Anders	11 / 40	13 / 42	0 / 0

Eryk Anders

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights19

Khalil Rountree Jr.

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17