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Middleweight
3 Rounds
JunYong Park won · S-DEC R3
Elo1512
Eryk Anders
Elo1510

Eryk AndersvsJunYong ParkUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · Saturday, May 21, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

JunYong Park won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEryk Anders: Well-roundedvsJunYong Park: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: JunYong Park wins(56.7%)

Actual result: JunYong Park wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

JunYong Park at -205 American odds

+$49 profit

$149 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Eryk Anders has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Eryk Anders (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Eryk Anders
Red Corner
VS
JunYong Park
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-205
(67%)
1512
Elo
1510
39
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eryk Anders
oldest →
L
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 23
W
vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24
W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 24
L
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Aug 25
W
vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26
latest
JunYong Park
oldest →
W
SUBvs Albert Duraev · Jul 23
L
vs Andre Muniz · Dec 23
W
vs Brad Tavares · Oct 24
W
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Jun 25
L
vs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eryk AndersMetricJunYong Park
3.44
Strikes / min
4.64
4.03
Strikes absorbed / min
3.82
50%
Strike defense
51%
1.83
TDs / 15 min
1.69
80%
Takedown defense
54%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.59Δ 1.41 — meaningful gap+0.82

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1507 vs 1482Strikes3.4 vs 4.5Takedowns1.8 vs 1.8Sub Atts0.10 vs 1.10Form-0.2 vs -1.0
Eryk AndersJunYong Park

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Eryk Anders(10 fights)JunYong Park(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +2.3|Blue -2.3
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Eryk AndersTargetJunYong Park

By target zone

45
40% acc · 69%
Head
74
49% acc · 70%
17
68% acc · 26%
Body
16
94% acc · 15%
3
60% acc · 5%
Leg
15
100% acc · 14%

By position

56
43% acc · 86%
Distance
85
53% acc · 81%
9
82% acc · 14%
Clinch
20
87% acc · 19%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Eryk Anders rounds
1
even
2
JunYong Park rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control2:32
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 2JunYong Park edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns2
Control1:36
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 3JunYong Park edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:37
49Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
65 / 142
Sig Strikes
105 / 184
46.3%
Sig Str %
59.7%
75 / 155
Total Strikes
108 / 187
3 / 24
TDs
0 / 1
16.3%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
1
4:45
Ctrl Time
0:31

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1JunYong Park25 / 3626 / 370 / 10
1Eryk Anders16 / 3022 / 371 / 60
2JunYong Park31 / 5233 / 540 / 00
2Eryk Anders16 / 3820 / 442 / 60
3JunYong Park49 / 9649 / 960 / 00
3Eryk Anders33 / 7433 / 740 / 120

Eryk Anders

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights19

JunYong Park

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9