← All fights/Event page

Middleweight

3 Rounds

Eryk Anders won · S-DEC R3

Elo1512

Elo1457

Eryk AndersvsGerald MeerschaertUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · Saturday, October 12, 2019Tampa, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Eryk Anders won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEryk Anders: Well-roundedvsGerald Meerschaert: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Gerald Meerschaert wins(55.7%)

Actual result: Eryk Anders wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gerald Meerschaert at +120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Eryk Anders has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Eryk Anders

Red Corner

Gerald Meerschaert

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1512

Elo

1457

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eryk Anders

oldest →

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 23

vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 24

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Aug 25

vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26

latest

Gerald MeerschaertL5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24

vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25

SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25

DECvs Jacob Malkoun · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eryk AndersMetricGerald Meerschaert

3.44

Strikes / min

2.95

4.03

Strikes absorbed / min

3.44

50%

Strike defense

53%

1.83

TDs / 15 min

1.70

80%

Takedown defense

40%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.59evenly matched on net striking-0.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Eryk AndersGerald Meerschaert

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Eryk Anders(10 fights)Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +55.3|Blue -55.3

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Eryk AndersTargetGerald Meerschaert

By target zone

23% acc · 48%

Head

30% acc · 78%

64% acc · 22%

Body

93% acc · 18%

79% acc · 30%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

35% acc · 95%

Distance

35% acc · 99%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

100% acc · 1%

33% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Eryk Anders rounds

even

Gerald Meerschaert rounds

Round 1Eryk Anders edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:05

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Gerald Meerschaert edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:03

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 178

Sig Strikes

72 / 202

35%

Sig Str %

34.3%

64 / 178

Total Strikes

72 / 202

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:08

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Gerald Meerschaert	13 / 54	13 / 54	0 / 1
1	Eryk Anders	15 / 58	15 / 58	0 / 0
2	Gerald Meerschaert	31 / 77	31 / 77	0 / 0
2	Eryk Anders	20 / 58	20 / 58	0 / 0
3	Gerald Meerschaert	28 / 71	28 / 71	0 / 0
3	Eryk Anders	29 / 62	29 / 62	0 / 0

Eryk Anders

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights19

Gerald Meerschaert

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights25