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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Eryk Anders won · U-DEC R3

Elo1512

Elo1407

Eryk AndersvsDarren StewartUFC Prediction Result

UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Saturday, June 12, 2021Glendale, Arizona, USA

Official fight result

Eryk Anders won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEryk Anders: Well-roundedvsDarren Stewart: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Eryk Anders wins(57.2%)

Actual result: Eryk Anders wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Eryk Anders at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Eryk Anders (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Eryk Anders

Red Corner

Darren Stewart

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1512

Elo

1407

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eryk Anders

oldest →

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 23

vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 24

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Aug 25

vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26

latest

Darren StewartL2 streak

oldest →

vs Bevon Lewis · Jun 19

vs Deron Winn · Oct 19

SUBvs Maki Pitolo · Aug 20

vs Kevin Holland · Sep 20

KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Aug 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eryk AndersMetricDarren Stewart

3.44

Strikes / min

3.05

4.03

Strikes absorbed / min

3.29

50%

Strike defense

48%

1.83

TDs / 15 min

1.75

80%

Takedown defense

67%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.59evenly matched on net striking-0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Eryk AndersDarren Stewart

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Eryk Anders(10 fights)Darren Stewart(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +105.3|Blue -105.3

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +126.0|Blue -126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Eryk AndersTargetDarren Stewart

By target zone

59% acc · 82%

Head

29% acc · 24%

64% acc · 16%

Body

88% acc · 21%

50% acc · 2%

Leg

82% acc · 55%

By position

32% acc · 20%

Distance

50% acc · 67%

77% acc · 39%

Clinch

85% acc · 33%

75% acc · 41%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Eryk Anders rounds

even

Darren Stewart rounds

Round 1Darren Stewart edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control1:11

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:52Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control3:03

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

Round 3Eryk Anders edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control4:05

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:06Control

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 74

Sig Strikes

33 / 58

54.7%

Sig Str %

54.3%

112 / 148

Total Strikes

63 / 93

0 / 4

TDs

2 / 4

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

8:19

Ctrl Time

2:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Darren Stewart	9 / 14	23 / 30	1 / 2
1	Eryk Anders	5 / 11	26 / 33	0 / 0
2	Darren Stewart	19 / 31	30 / 43	0 / 1
2	Eryk Anders	12 / 23	33 / 47	0 / 4
3	Darren Stewart	5 / 13	10 / 20	1 / 1
3	Eryk Anders	27 / 40	53 / 68	0 / 0

Eryk Anders

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights19

Darren Stewart

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights12