← All fights/Event page

Women's Flyweight

5 Rounds

Manon Fiorot won · U-DEC R5

Elo1529

Elo1522

Erin BlanchfieldvsManon FiorotUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Saturday, March 30, 2024Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Manon Fiorot won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupErin Blanchfield: Pressure fightervsManon Fiorot: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Erin Blanchfield wins(60.9%)

Actual result: Manon Fiorot wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Erin Blanchfield at -218 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Erin Blanchfield enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Erin Blanchfield

Red Corner

Manon Fiorot

Blue Corner

-218

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1529

Elo

1522

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'7"

167.64 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Erin BlanchfieldW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Molly McCann · Nov 22

SUBvs Jessica Andrade · Feb 23

vs Taila Santos · Aug 23

vs Rose Namajunas · Nov 24

SUBvs Tracy Cortez · Nov 25

latest

Manon Fiorot

oldest →

vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 22

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Oct 22

vs Rose Namajunas · Sep 23

vs Valentina Shevchenko · May 25

KOvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Erin BlanchfieldMetricManon Fiorot

5.24

Strikes / min

5.66

4.25

Strikes absorbed / min

3.58

58%

Strike defense

66%

1.96

TDs / 15 min

1.05

78%

Takedown defense

87%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.99Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap+2.08

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Erin BlanchfieldManon Fiorot

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Erin Blanchfield(9 fights)Manon Fiorot(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +6.5|Blue -6.5

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Erin BlanchfieldTargetManon Fiorot

By target zone

25% acc · 62%

Head

143

45% acc · 83%

63% acc · 19%

Body

72% acc · 10%

89% acc · 19%

Leg

85% acc · 6%

By position

124

33% acc · 95%

Distance

167

48% acc · 97%

40% acc · 5%

Clinch

38% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Erin Blanchfield rounds

even

Manon Fiorot rounds

Round 1Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:27

28Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 2Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 3Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 4Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:00

46Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 5Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:21

42Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

130 / 386

Sig Strikes

172 / 359

33.2%

Sig Str %

47.2%

135 / 394

Total Strikes

181 / 369

0 / 3

TDs

1 / 4

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:48

Ctrl Time

0:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Manon Fiorot	28 / 57	30 / 59	1 / 1	0
1	Erin Blanchfield	21 / 58	22 / 60	0 / 0	1
2	Manon Fiorot	27 / 61	27 / 62	0 / 0	0
2	Erin Blanchfield	21 / 77	22 / 78	0 / 1	0
3	Manon Fiorot	29 / 70	29 / 70	0 / 0	0
3	Erin Blanchfield	24 / 68	24 / 69	0 / 1	0
4	Erin Blanchfield	37 / 98	38 / 99	0 / 1	0
4	Manon Fiorot	46 / 85	47 / 86	0 / 3	0
5	Manon Fiorot	42 / 86	48 / 92	0 / 0	0
5	Erin Blanchfield	27 / 85	29 / 88	0 / 0	0

Erin Blanchfield

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights9

Manon Fiorot

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights9