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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Erin Blanchfield won · SUB R2

Elo1529

Elo1522

Erin BlanchfieldvsJJ AldrichUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Saturday, June 4, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Erin Blanchfield won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:38

Style matchupErin Blanchfield: Pressure fightervsJJ Aldrich: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Erin Blanchfield wins(80.1%)

Actual result: Erin Blanchfield wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Erin Blanchfield at -475 American odds

+$21 profit

$121 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors JJ Aldrich (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Erin Blanchfield

Red Corner

JJ Aldrich

Blue Corner

-475

(83%)

Vegas Odds

+350

(22%)

1529

Elo

1522

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'4"

Height

5'5"

167.64 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Erin BlanchfieldW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jessica Andrade · Feb 23

vs Taila Santos · Aug 23

vs Manon Fiorot · Mar 24

vs Rose Namajunas · Nov 24

SUBvs Tracy Cortez · Nov 25

latest

JJ AldrichW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Liang Na · Aug 23

vs Montana De La Rosa · Oct 23

vs Veronica Hardy · May 24

vs Andrea Lee · Mar 25

DECvs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Erin BlanchfieldMetricJJ Aldrich

5.24

Strikes / min

3.92

4.25

Strikes absorbed / min

4.34

58%

Strike defense

61%

1.96

TDs / 15 min

0.70

78%

Takedown defense

67%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.99Δ 1.41 — meaningful gap-0.42

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Erin BlanchfieldJJ Aldrich

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Erin Blanchfield(9 fights)JJ Aldrich(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +6.8|Blue -6.8

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Erin BlanchfieldTargetJJ Aldrich

By target zone

38% acc · 60%

Head

44% acc · 91%

100% acc · 23%

Body

60% acc · 9%

62% acc · 17%

Leg

By position

48% acc · 96%

Distance

46% acc · 97%

50% acc · 4%

Clinch

33% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Erin Blanchfield rounds

even

JJ Aldrich rounds

Round 1Erin Blanchfield edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:43

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:16Control

Round 2Erin Blanchfield edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:13

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:26Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 100

Sig Strikes

32 / 71

49%

Sig Str %

47%

68 / 121

Total Strikes

38 / 77

0 / 4

TDs

2 / 6

TD %

60%

Sub Att

Rev

0:56

Ctrl Time

0:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	JJ Aldrich	16 / 43	21 / 48	1 / 5	0
1	Erin Blanchfield	23 / 58	27 / 62	0 / 3	0
2	JJ Aldrich	16 / 28	17 / 29	1 / 1	0
2	Erin Blanchfield	25 / 42	41 / 59	0 / 1	1

Erin Blanchfield

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights9

JJ Aldrich

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights16