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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Erik Perez won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Elo1352

Erik PerezvsByron BloodworthUFC Prediction Result

UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · Saturday, December 29, 2012Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Erik Perez won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:50

Model Prediction: Erik Perez wins(57.6%)

Actual result: Erik Perez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Erik Perez at -475 American odds

+$21 profit

$121 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Erik Perez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Erik Perez has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Erik Perez has 69pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Erik Perez
Red Corner
VS
Byron Bloodworth
Blue Corner
-475
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+420
(19%)
1491
Elo
1352
36
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Erik PerezW3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Edwin Figueroa · Nov 13
L
SUBvs Bryan Caraway · Jun 14
W
vs Taylor Lapilus · Nov 15
W
vs Francisco Rivera · Jul 16
W
vs Felipe Arantes · Nov 16
latest
Byron Bloodworth
oldest →
L
KOvs Mike Easton · Oct 11
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Erik PerezMetricByron Bloodworth
3.16
Strikes / min
1.82
2.09
Strikes absorbed / min
5.18
66%
Strike defense
50%
3.16
TDs / 15 min
0.00
69%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.07Δ 4.43 — meaningful gap-3.36

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1532 vs 1484Strikes13.5 vs 17.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs -1.0
Erik PerezByron Bloodworth

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Erik Perez(9 fights)Byron Bloodworth(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +138.8|Blue -138.8
Recent Form
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Striker Score
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -315.0|Blue +315.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Erik PerezTargetByron Bloodworth

By target zone

23
56% acc · 57%
Head
3
60% acc · 38%
13
100% acc · 33%
Body
4
80% acc · 50%
4
100% acc · 10%
Leg
1
100% acc · 13%

By position

3
50% acc · 8%
Distance
3
60% acc · 38%
16
100% acc · 40%
Clinch
5
83% acc · 63%
21
58% acc · 53%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Erik Perez rounds
0
even
0
Byron Bloodworth rounds
Round 1Erik Perez edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control3:19
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
40 / 58
Sig Strikes
8 / 11
68%
Sig Str %
72%
49 / 72
Total Strikes
9 / 12
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
3:19
Ctrl Time
0:09

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Byron Bloodworth8 / 119 / 120 / 00
1Erik Perez40 / 5849 / 720 / 00

Erik Perez

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights9

Byron Bloodworth

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach—
Fights2