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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Nordine Taleb won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1363

Elo1492

Erick SilvavsNordine TalebUFC Prediction Result

UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · Saturday, March 5, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nordine Taleb won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:34

Style matchupErick Silva: Submission grapplervsNordine Taleb: Elusive striker

The grappler must close distance and chain wrestling. The elusive striker keeps space and picks shots.

Model Prediction: Nordine Taleb wins(70.4%)

Actual result: Nordine Taleb wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nordine Taleb at +185 American odds

+$185 profit

$285 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Erick Silva threatens submissions; Nordine Taleb has lost 40% of fights by sub.
Nordine Taleb has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Nordine Taleb has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Erick Silva

Red Corner

Nordine Taleb

Blue Corner

-225

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+185

(35%)

1363

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Erick SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Josh Koscheck · Mar 15

vs Neil Magny · Aug 15

SUBvs Luan Chagas · Sep 16

KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 17

vs Jordan Mein · Dec 17

latest

Nordine Taleb

oldest →

KOvs Danny Roberts · Dec 17

SUBvs Claudio Silva · May 18

KOvs Sean Strickland · Oct 18

vs Kyle Prepolec · May 19

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Sep 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Erick SilvaMetricNordine Taleb

2.50

Strikes / min

3.66

4.18

Strikes absorbed / min

2.62

49%

Strike defense

66%

0.85

TDs / 15 min

1.94

56%

Takedown defense

73%

1.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.68Δ 2.72 — meaningful gap+1.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Erick SilvaNordine Taleb

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Erick Silva(10 fights)Nordine Taleb(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -128.7|Blue +128.7

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -1.8|Blue +1.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -22.0|Blue +22.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Erick SilvaTargetNordine Taleb

By target zone

14% acc · 18%

Head

29% acc · 38%

60% acc · 55%

Body

100% acc · 19%

38% acc · 27%

Leg

100% acc · 42%

By position

34% acc · 100%

Distance

49% acc · 85%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

Ground

67% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Erick Silva rounds

even

Nordine Taleb rounds

Round 1Nordine Taleb edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Nordine Taleb edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 32

Sig Strikes

26 / 50

38.5%

Sig Str %

57%

11 / 32

Total Strikes

26 / 50

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Nordine Taleb	17 / 37	17 / 37	1 / 1
1	Erick Silva	6 / 22	6 / 22	0 / 1
2	Nordine Taleb	9 / 13	9 / 13	0 / 0
2	Erick Silva	5 / 10	5 / 10	0 / 0

Erick Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights15

Nordine Taleb

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights12