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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Erick Silva won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1363
Erick Silva
Elo1351

Erick SilvavsLuis RamosUFC Prediction Result

UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · Saturday, August 27, 2011Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Erick Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:40

Model Prediction: Erick Silva wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Erick Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Erick Silva at -280 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Luis Ramos has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Erick Silva
Red Corner
VS
Luis Ramos
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+255
(28%)
1363
Elo
1351
42
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'8"
187.96 cm
Reach
183 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Erick SilvaL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Neil Magny · Aug 15
L
KOvs Nordine Taleb · Mar 16
W
SUBvs Luan Chagas · Sep 16
L
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 17
L
vs Jordan Mein · Dec 17
latest
Luis Ramos
oldest →
L
KOvs Matt Brown · Jun 12
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Erick SilvaMetricLuis Ramos
2.50
Strikes / min
2.40
4.18
Strikes absorbed / min
5.60
49%
Strike defense
42%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
1.50
56%
Takedown defense
100%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.68Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-3.20
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Erick Silva(10 fights)Luis Ramos(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +11.6|Blue -11.6
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Erick SilvaTargetLuis Ramos

By target zone

4
44% acc · 100%
Head
2
40% acc · 50%
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 50%

By position

1
25% acc · 25%
Distance
4
57% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
3
60% acc · 75%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Erick Silva rounds
0
even
0
Luis Ramos rounds
Round 1Erick Silva edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
4 / 9
Sig Strikes
4 / 7
44%
Sig Str %
57%
6 / 11
Total Strikes
4 / 7
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:05
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Luis Ramos4 / 74 / 70 / 00
1Erick Silva4 / 96 / 110 / 00

Erick Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights15

Luis Ramos

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach
Fights2