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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Erick Silva won · SUB R1
Elo1363
Erick Silva
Elo1490

Erick SilvavsJason HighUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · Saturday, June 8, 2013Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil

Official fight result

Erick Silva won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:11

Style matchupErick Silva: Submission grapplervsJason High: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Jason High wins(58.3%)

Actual result: Erick Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jason High at +365 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Erick Silva threatens submissions; Jason High has lost 33% of fights by sub.
  • Erick Silva has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Jason High (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Erick Silva
Red Corner
VS
Jason High
Blue Corner
-410
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+365
(22%)
1363
Elo
1490
42
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'8"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Erick SilvaL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Neil Magny · Aug 15
L
KOvs Nordine Taleb · Mar 16
W
SUBvs Luan Chagas · Sep 16
L
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 17
L
vs Jordan Mein · Dec 17
latest
Jason High
oldest →
L
vs Charlie Brenneman · Mar 10
W
SUBvs James Head · Aug 13
W
vs Anthony Lapsley · Nov 13
L
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jun 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Erick SilvaMetricJason High
2.50
Strikes / min
1.28
4.18
Strikes absorbed / min
1.56
49%
Strike defense
48%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
2.36
56%
Takedown defense
37%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
2.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.68Δ 1.40 — meaningful gap-0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1501 vs 1482Strikes10.3 vs 12.0Takedowns0.5 vs 0.0Sub Atts1.00 vs 3.00Form-0.2 vs -1.0
Erick SilvaJason High

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Erick Silva(10 fights)Jason High(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -127.2|Blue +127.2
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -927.0|Blue +927.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Erick SilvaTargetJason High

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
0
0% acc
0
Body
0
0% acc
0
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
0
0% acc
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Erick Silva rounds
1
even
0
Jason High rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:18
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
0 / 1
Sig Strikes
0 / 6
0%
Sig Str %
0%
0 / 1
Total Strikes
0 / 6
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
—
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:18
Ctrl Time
0:13

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jason High0 / 60 / 60 / 10
1Erick Silva0 / 10 / 10 / 01

Erick Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights15

Jason High

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5