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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Dong Hyun Kim won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1363
Erick Silva
Elo1491
Dong Hyun Kim

Erick SilvavsDong Hyun KimUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · Wednesday, October 9, 2013Barueri, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Dong Hyun Kim won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:01

Style matchupErick Silva: Submission grapplervsDong Hyun Kim: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Dong Hyun Kim wins(71.9%)

Actual result: Dong Hyun Kim wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dong Hyun Kim at +160 American odds

+$160 profit

$260 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dong Hyun Kim has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Dong Hyun Kim (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Erick Silva
Red Corner
VS
Dong Hyun Kim
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
1363
Elo
1491
42
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Erick SilvaL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Neil Magny · Aug 15
L
KOvs Nordine Taleb · Mar 16
W
SUBvs Luan Chagas · Sep 16
L
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 17
L
vs Jordan Mein · Dec 17
latest
Dong Hyun Kim
oldest →
L
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Aug 14
W
SUBvs Joshua Burkman · May 15
W
KOvs Dominic Waters · Nov 15
W
vs Tarec Saffiedine · Dec 16
L
vs Colby Covington · Jun 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Erick SilvaMetricDong Hyun Kim
2.50
Strikes / min
2.12
4.18
Strikes absorbed / min
1.89
49%
Strike defense
58%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
2.93
56%
Takedown defense
71%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.68Δ 1.91 — meaningful gap+0.23

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1518 vs 1550Strikes8.2 vs 26.6Takedowns0.4 vs 2.7Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.64Form0.3 vs 0.5
Erick SilvaDong Hyun Kim

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Erick Silva(10 fights)Dong Hyun Kim(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -127.7|Blue +127.7
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff
Red -98.0|Blue +98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Erick SilvaTargetDong Hyun Kim

By target zone

12
32% acc · 43%
Head
10
34% acc · 91%
14
74% acc · 50%
Body
1
50% acc · 9%
2
67% acc · 7%
Leg
0

By position

17
41% acc · 61%
Distance
7
32% acc · 64%
11
61% acc · 39%
Clinch
1
20% acc · 9%
0
0% acc
Ground
3
75% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Erick Silva rounds
0
even
1
Dong Hyun Kim rounds
Round 1Dong Hyun Kim edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:02
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:38Control
Round 2Erick Silva edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:20
Knockdowns0
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
28 / 60
Sig Strikes
11 / 31
45.5%
Sig Str %
35.5%
31 / 63
Total Strikes
30 / 50
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 4
TD %
16.5%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:22
Ctrl Time
4:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dong Hyun Kim5 / 1720 / 321 / 30
1Erick Silva10 / 2311 / 240 / 00
2Dong Hyun Kim6 / 1410 / 180 / 10
2Erick Silva18 / 3720 / 390 / 00

Erick Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights15

Dong Hyun Kim

StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14