Flyweight

3 Rounds

Jarred Brooks won · S-DEC R3

Elo1491

Eric SheltonvsJarred BrooksUFC Prediction Result

UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · Saturday, July 29, 2017Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Jarred Brooks won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEric Shelton: WrestlervsJarred Brooks: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Eric Shelton wins(73.9%)

Actual result: Jarred Brooks wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Eric Shelton at +125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jarred Brooks has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jarred Brooks (52.9%).
Eric Shelton has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Eric Shelton

Red Corner

Jarred Brooks

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-145

(59%)

1491

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'6"

Height

5'3"

172.72 cm

Reach

157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eric Shelton

oldest →

vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jan 17

vs Jenel Lausa · Nov 17

vs Alex Perez · Feb 18

vs Joseph Morales · Nov 18

vs Jordan Espinosa · Mar 19

latest

Jarred Brooks

oldest →

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Oct 17

KOvs Jose Torres · Jun 18

DECvs Roberto Sanchez · Sep 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eric SheltonMetricJarred Brooks

2.57

Strikes / min

2.12

1.88

Strikes absorbed / min

1.66

63%

Strike defense

62%

2.83

TDs / 15 min

4.54

46%

Takedown defense

69%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.69evenly matched on net striking+0.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Eric SheltonJarred Brooks

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Eric Shelton(6 fights)Jarred Brooks(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Eric SheltonTargetJarred Brooks

By target zone

33% acc · 84%

Head

23% acc · 56%

63% acc · 16%

Body

78% acc · 26%

Leg

100% acc · 19%

By position

26% acc · 61%

Distance

28% acc · 74%

50% acc · 3%

Clinch

67% acc · 7%

92% acc · 35%

Ground

100% acc · 19%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Eric Shelton rounds

even

Jarred Brooks rounds

Round 1Jarred Brooks edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:28Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control0:37

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 87

Sig Strikes

27 / 80

37.7%

Sig Str %

38%

65 / 123

Total Strikes

32 / 87

1 / 2

TDs

5 / 8

50%

TD %

61%

Sub Att

Rev

0:37

Ctrl Time

3:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jarred Brooks	12 / 18	17 / 25	3 / 3	1
1	Eric Shelton	16 / 24	45 / 55	0 / 0	0
2	Jarred Brooks	6 / 26	6 / 26	1 / 2	0
2	Eric Shelton	4 / 32	9 / 37	1 / 1	0
3	Jarred Brooks	9 / 36	9 / 36	1 / 3	0
3	Eric Shelton	11 / 31	11 / 31	0 / 1	1

Eric Shelton

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6

Jarred Brooks

StanceSwitch

Height63.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights4