Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Featherweight
3 Rounds
Movsar Evloev won · U-DEC R3
Elo1492
Enrique Barzola
Elo1536
Movsar Evloev

Enrique BarzolavsMovsar EvloevUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · Saturday, October 26, 2019Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Movsar Evloev won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEnrique Barzola: WrestlervsMovsar Evloev: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Enrique Barzola wins(54.2%)

Actual result: Movsar Evloev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Enrique Barzola at +170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Movsar Evloev enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Enrique Barzola
Red Corner
VS
Movsar Evloev
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
1492
Elo
1536
37
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Enrique Barzola
oldest →
W
vs Gabriel Benitez · May 17
W
vs Matt Bessette · Jan 18
W
vs Brandon Davis · May 18
L
vs Kevin Aguilar · Mar 19
W
vs Bobby Moffett · Aug 19
latest
Movsar EvloevW5 streak
oldest →
W
vs Dan Ige · Jun 22
W
vs Diego Lopes · May 23
W
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 24
W
vs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 24
W
vs Lerone Murphy · Mar 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Enrique BarzolaMetricMovsar Evloev
3.91
Strikes / min
3.91
2.97
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
68%
Strike defense
61%
4.20
TDs / 15 min
4.78
66%
Takedown defense
61%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.94evenly matched on net striking+1.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1557 vs 1516Strikes3.9 vs 4.0Takedowns4.6 vs 4.5Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form0.4 vs 1.0
Enrique BarzolaMovsar Evloev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901505152015351550← oldermost recent →
Enrique Barzola(9 fights)Movsar Evloev(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -44.4|Blue +44.4
Recent Form
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score
Red +2.5|Blue -2.5
Grappler Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Enrique BarzolaTargetMovsar Evloev

By target zone

48
25% acc · 62%
Head
63
29% acc · 89%
21
68% acc · 27%
Body
3
60% acc · 4%
9
64% acc · 12%
Leg
5
63% acc · 7%

By position

64
30% acc · 82%
Distance
66
30% acc · 93%
6
86% acc · 8%
Clinch
4
40% acc · 6%
8
53% acc · 10%
Ground
1
50% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Enrique Barzola rounds
2
even
1
Movsar Evloev rounds
Round 1Movsar Evloev edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:11Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control0:36
24Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:57Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:02
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
78 / 234
Sig Strikes
71 / 233
33%
Sig Str %
29.3%
83 / 239
Total Strikes
78 / 244
1 / 5
TDs
4 / 11
25%
TD %
46.7%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:38
Ctrl Time
2:12

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Movsar Evloev16 / 7122 / 812 / 20
1Enrique Barzola20 / 6221 / 630 / 00
2Movsar Evloev24 / 7325 / 742 / 50
2Enrique Barzola28 / 8231 / 851 / 20
3Movsar Evloev31 / 8931 / 890 / 40
3Enrique Barzola30 / 9031 / 910 / 30

Enrique Barzola

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9

Movsar Evloev

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10