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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Kyle Bochniak won · S-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1377

Enrique BarzolavsKyle BochniakUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · Saturday, August 27, 2016Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Kyle Bochniak won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEnrique Barzola: WrestlervsKyle Bochniak: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Enrique Barzola wins(64.9%)

Actual result: Kyle Bochniak wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Enrique Barzola at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kyle Bochniak enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Enrique Barzola has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Enrique Barzola (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Enrique Barzola

Red Corner

Kyle Bochniak

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1492

Elo

1377

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

177.8 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Enrique Barzola

oldest →

vs Matt Bessette · Jan 18

vs Brandon Davis · May 18

vs Kevin Aguilar · Mar 19

vs Bobby Moffett · Aug 19

vs Movsar Evloev · Oct 19

latest

Kyle BochniakL3 streak

oldest →

vs Jeremy Kennedy · Jul 17

vs Brandon Davis · Jan 18

vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Apr 18

vs Hakeem Dawodu · Dec 18

vs Sean Woodson · Oct 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Enrique BarzolaMetricKyle Bochniak

3.91

Strikes / min

2.63

2.97

Strikes absorbed / min

5.11

68%

Strike defense

58%

4.20

TDs / 15 min

1.14

66%

Takedown defense

62%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.94Δ 3.42 — meaningful gap-2.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Enrique BarzolaKyle Bochniak

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Enrique Barzola(9 fights)Kyle Bochniak(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +114.8|Blue -114.8

Recent Form

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +57.0|Blue -57.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Enrique BarzolaTargetKyle Bochniak

By target zone

23% acc · 56%

Head

14% acc · 37%

77% acc · 31%

Body

55% acc · 15%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

87% acc · 49%

By position

30% acc · 85%

Distance

28% acc · 93%

80% acc · 15%

Clinch

60% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Enrique Barzola rounds

even

Kyle Bochniak rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:09

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:24Control

Round 2Enrique Barzola edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control0:08

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Enrique Barzola edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:01

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

55 / 165

Sig Strikes

41 / 141

32.7%

Sig Str %

29%

56 / 168

Total Strikes

41 / 142

1 / 9

TDs

1 / 3

8.3%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:18

Ctrl Time

0:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kyle Bochniak	10 / 33	10 / 33	1 / 2
1	Enrique Barzola	14 / 50	15 / 51	0 / 1
2	Kyle Bochniak	14 / 45	14 / 46	0 / 0
2	Enrique Barzola	17 / 59	17 / 59	1 / 4
3	Kyle Bochniak	17 / 63	17 / 63	0 / 1
3	Enrique Barzola	24 / 56	24 / 58	0 / 4

Enrique Barzola

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights9

Kyle Bochniak

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7