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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Enrique Barzola won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1358

Enrique BarzolavsChris AvilaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · Saturday, November 5, 2016Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Enrique Barzola won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Enrique Barzola wins(84.4%)

Actual result: Enrique Barzola wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Enrique Barzola at -550 American odds

+$18 profit

$118 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Enrique Barzola has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Enrique Barzola has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Enrique Barzola (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Enrique Barzola

Red Corner

Chris Avila

Blue Corner

-550

(85%)

Vegas Odds

+425

(19%)

1492

Elo

1358

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Enrique Barzola

oldest →

vs Matt Bessette · Jan 18

vs Brandon Davis · May 18

vs Kevin Aguilar · Mar 19

vs Bobby Moffett · Aug 19

vs Movsar Evloev · Oct 19

latest

Chris Avila

oldest →

vs Artem Lobov · Aug 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Enrique BarzolaMetricChris Avila

3.91

Strikes / min

2.37

2.97

Strikes absorbed / min

4.17

68%

Strike defense

48%

4.20

TDs / 15 min

0.00

66%

Takedown defense

46%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.94Δ 2.74 — meaningful gap-1.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Enrique BarzolaChris Avila

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Enrique Barzola(9 fights)Chris Avila(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +133.5|Blue -133.5

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Enrique BarzolaTargetChris Avila

By target zone

38% acc · 40%

Head

24% acc · 83%

67% acc · 17%

Body

80% acc · 14%

94% acc · 43%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

55% acc · 82%

Distance

24% acc · 83%

63% acc · 7%

Clinch

67% acc · 14%

67% acc · 11%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Enrique Barzola rounds

even

Chris Avila rounds

Round 1Enrique Barzola edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns3

Control1:53

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Enrique Barzola edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns2

Control2:44

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Enrique Barzola edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns2

Control2:28

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

72 / 127

Sig Strikes

29 / 105

57%

Sig Str %

27.3%

129 / 231

Total Strikes

41 / 121

7 / 12

TDs

0 / 0

66.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:05

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chris Avila	12 / 44	17 / 49	0 / 0
1	Enrique Barzola	24 / 49	35 / 66	3 / 5
2	Chris Avila	8 / 29	11 / 35	0 / 0
2	Enrique Barzola	27 / 45	55 / 88	2 / 5
3	Chris Avila	9 / 32	13 / 37	0 / 0
3	Enrique Barzola	21 / 33	39 / 77	2 / 2

Enrique Barzola

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights9

Chris Avila

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach—

Fights2