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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Enrique Barzola won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1438

Enrique BarzolavsBrandon DavisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · Saturday, May 19, 2018Santiago, Chile

Official fight result

Enrique Barzola won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEnrique Barzola: WrestlervsBrandon Davis: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Enrique Barzola wins(64.5%)

Actual result: Enrique Barzola wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Enrique Barzola at -235 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Brandon Davis enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Enrique Barzola has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Enrique Barzola (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Enrique Barzola

Red Corner

Brandon Davis

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+195

(34%)

1492

Elo

1438

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Enrique Barzola

oldest →

vs Gabriel Benitez · May 17

vs Matt Bessette · Jan 18

vs Kevin Aguilar · Mar 19

vs Bobby Moffett · Aug 19

vs Movsar Evloev · Oct 19

latest

Brandon DavisL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Randy Costa · Apr 19

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Aug 19

vs Giga Chikadze · Sep 19

KOvs Batgerel Danaa · Oct 21

vs Mana Martinez · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Enrique BarzolaMetricBrandon Davis

3.91

Strikes / min

4.68

2.97

Strikes absorbed / min

4.62

68%

Strike defense

58%

4.20

TDs / 15 min

0.74

66%

Takedown defense

57%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.94evenly matched on net striking+0.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Enrique BarzolaBrandon Davis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Enrique Barzola(9 fights)Brandon Davis(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +54.1|Blue -54.1

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +29.0|Blue -29.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Enrique BarzolaTargetBrandon Davis

By target zone

46% acc · 65%

Head

25% acc · 62%

56% acc · 10%

Body

50% acc · 7%

100% acc · 25%

Leg

82% acc · 31%

By position

46% acc · 53%

Distance

33% acc · 97%

56% acc · 10%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

73% acc · 37%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Enrique Barzola rounds

even

Brandon Davis rounds

Round 1Enrique Barzola edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns3

Control1:19

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:35Control

Round 2Enrique Barzola edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns5

Control4:04

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

Round 3Enrique Barzola edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns2

Control1:51

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

51 / 94

Sig Strikes

29 / 87

54.3%

Sig Str %

31.3%

89 / 149

Total Strikes

39 / 102

10 / 15

TDs

0 / 1

75%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

7:14

Ctrl Time

0:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Brandon Davis	15 / 35	18 / 39	0 / 0	0
1	Enrique Barzola	17 / 33	24 / 40	3 / 7	0
2	Brandon Davis	1 / 4	7 / 13	0 / 0	0
2	Enrique Barzola	15 / 25	39 / 58	5 / 6	1
3	Brandon Davis	13 / 48	14 / 50	0 / 1	0
3	Enrique Barzola	19 / 36	26 / 51	2 / 2	0

Enrique Barzola

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights9

Brandon Davis

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9