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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Amanda Ribas won · SUB R2

Elo1408

Elo1480

Emily WhitmirevsAmanda RibasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · Saturday, June 29, 2019Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA

Official fight result

Amanda Ribas won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:10

Style matchupEmily Whitmire: Well-roundedvsAmanda Ribas: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Amanda Ribas wins(52.6%)

Actual result: Amanda Ribas wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Amanda Ribas at +155 American odds

+$155 profit

$255 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Amanda Ribas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Emily Whitmire

Red Corner

Amanda Ribas

Blue Corner

-175

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+155

(39%)

1408

Elo

1480

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'4"

160.02 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Emily WhitmireL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Dec 17

vs Jamie Moyle · Jul 18

SUBvs Alexandra Albu · Feb 19

SUBvs Polyana Viana · Aug 20

SUBvs Hannah Goldy · Sep 21

latest

Amanda RibasL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Maycee Barber · Jun 23

KOvs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 23

vs Rose Namajunas · Mar 24

SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Jan 25

KOvs Tabatha Ricci · Jul 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Emily WhitmireMetricAmanda Ribas

2.50

Strikes / min

4.26

2.98

Strikes absorbed / min

3.29

54%

Strike defense

60%

1.90

TDs / 15 min

2.05

70%

Takedown defense

82%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.48Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap+0.97

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Emily WhitmireAmanda Ribas

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Emily Whitmire(6 fights)Amanda Ribas(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -72.3|Blue +72.3

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Emily WhitmireTargetAmanda Ribas

By target zone

19% acc · 57%

Head

46% acc · 76%

75% acc · 43%

Body

80% acc · 19%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

19% acc · 57%

Distance

45% acc · 48%

100% acc · 29%

Clinch

80% acc · 19%

50% acc · 14%

Ground

50% acc · 33%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Emily Whitmire rounds

even

Amanda Ribas rounds

Round 1Amanda Ribas edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control1:34

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:02Control

Round 2Amanda Ribas edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:30Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

7 / 25

Sig Strikes

21 / 41

29%

Sig Str %

48%

18 / 37

Total Strikes

67 / 92

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 5

—

TD %

62.5%

Sub Att

Rev

1:34

Ctrl Time

4:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Amanda Ribas	5 / 12	35 / 43	1 / 4	1
1	Emily Whitmire	3 / 9	14 / 21	0 / 0	0
2	Amanda Ribas	16 / 29	32 / 49	1 / 1	1
2	Emily Whitmire	4 / 16	4 / 16	0 / 0	0

Emily Whitmire

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights6

Amanda Ribas

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights13