← All fights/Event page

Catch Weight

3 Rounds

Loopy Godinez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1495

Elo1507

Emily DucotevsLoopy GodinezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · Saturday, May 20, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Loopy Godinez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEmily Ducote: Pressure fightervsLoopy Godinez: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Loopy Godinez wins(64.7%)

Actual result: Loopy Godinez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Loopy Godinez at -136 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Emily Ducote has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Emily Ducote

Red Corner

Loopy Godinez

Blue Corner

+116

(46%)

Vegas Odds

-136

(58%)

1495

Elo

1507

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'2"

Height

5'2"

160.02 cm

Reach

154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Emily Ducote

oldest →

vs Jessica Penne · Jul 22

vs Angela Hill · Dec 22

vs Ashley Yoder · Oct 23

vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 24

latest

Loopy Godinez

oldest →

vs Virna Jandiroba · Mar 24

vs Mackenzie Dern · Aug 24

vs Julia Polastri · Mar 25

vs Jessica Andrade · Aug 25

SUBvs Tatiana Suarez · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Emily DucoteMetricLoopy Godinez

7.45

Strikes / min

4.43

7.84

Strikes absorbed / min

3.94

57%

Strike defense

62%

0.20

TDs / 15 min

2.99

94%

Takedown defense

76%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.39evenly matched on net striking+0.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Emily DucoteLoopy Godinez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Emily Ducote(5 fights)Loopy Godinez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -11.8|Blue +11.8

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Layoff

Red +126.0|Blue -126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Emily DucoteTargetLoopy Godinez

By target zone

33% acc · 63%

Head

106

50% acc · 80%

64% acc · 19%

Body

67% acc · 9%

87% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

106

40% acc · 95%

Distance

121

52% acc · 92%

75% acc · 5%

Clinch

79% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Emily Ducote rounds

even

Loopy Godinez rounds

Round 1Loopy Godinez edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:11

49Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control0:00

43Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Loopy Godinez edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

40Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:13Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

112 / 270

Sig Strikes

132 / 246

41%

Sig Str %

53.3%

117 / 275

Total Strikes

133 / 248

0 / 4

TDs

1 / 3

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:11

Ctrl Time

0:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Loopy Godinez	49 / 81	49 / 81	0 / 1
1	Emily Ducote	34 / 81	34 / 81	0 / 1
2	Loopy Godinez	43 / 77	43 / 77	0 / 1
2	Emily Ducote	43 / 102	43 / 102	0 / 2
3	Loopy Godinez	40 / 88	41 / 90	1 / 1
3	Emily Ducote	35 / 87	40 / 92	0 / 1

Emily Ducote

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights5

Loopy Godinez

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights14