Welterweight

3 Rounds

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1488

Elo1491

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosvsZachary ScrogginUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Saturday, November 9, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:15

Model Prediction: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins(69.3%)

Actual result: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Zachary Scroggin has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos has 67pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Red Corner

Zachary Scroggin

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1488

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'3"

185.42 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosL3 streak

oldest →

vs Benoit Saint Denis · Oct 21

vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Jun 23

vs Randy Brown · Jun 24

KOvs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 25

KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 25

latest

Zachary ScrogginNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosMetricZachary Scroggin

4.16

Strikes / min

2.40

3.56

Strikes absorbed / min

8.80

55%

Strike defense

68%

0.79

TDs / 15 min

0.00

67%

Takedown defense

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.60Δ 7.00 — meaningful gap-6.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosZachary Scroggin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos(10 fights)Zachary Scroggin(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.5|Blue +2.5

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -47.7|Blue +47.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosTargetZachary Scroggin

By target zone

23% acc · 64%

Head

20% acc · 33%

Body

100% acc · 36%

Leg

67% acc · 67%

By position

83% acc · 45%

Distance

38% acc · 100%

Clinch

21% acc · 55%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos rounds

even

Zachary Scroggin rounds

Round 1Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:20

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 35

Sig Strikes

3 / 8

31%

Sig Str %

37%

11 / 43

Total Strikes

3 / 8

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:20

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Zachary Scroggin	3 / 8	3 / 8	0 / 0	0
1	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	11 / 35	11 / 43	0 / 0	0

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights15

Zachary Scroggin

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights1