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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1488

Elo1530

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosvsSean StricklandUFC Prediction Result

UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · Saturday, May 12, 2018Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:40

Style matchupElizeu Zaleski dos Santos: Pressure fightervsSean Strickland: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins(71.7%)

Actual result: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Red Corner

Sean Strickland

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1488

Elo

1530

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'1"

185.42 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Jun 23

vs Randy Brown · Jun 24

KOvs Zachary Scroggin · Nov 24

KOvs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 25

KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 25

latest

Sean StricklandW2 streak

oldest →

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24

vs Paulo Costa · Jun 24

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25

KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26

DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosMetricSean Strickland

4.16

Strikes / min

5.98

3.56

Strikes absorbed / min

4.53

55%

Strike defense

60%

0.79

TDs / 15 min

0.66

67%

Takedown defense

68%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.60evenly matched on net striking+1.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosSean Strickland

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos(10 fights)Sean Strickland(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -41.8|Blue +41.8

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosTargetSean Strickland

By target zone

22% acc · 60%

Head

37% acc · 93%

25% acc · 13%

Body

44% acc · 27%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

20% acc · 60%

Distance

37% acc · 93%

Clinch

100% acc · 7%

46% acc · 40%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos rounds

even

Sean Strickland rounds

Round 1Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:07

Knockdowns1

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 58

Sig Strikes

14 / 36

25%

Sig Str %

38%

18 / 63

Total Strikes

14 / 36

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:07

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sean Strickland	14 / 36	14 / 36	0 / 0	0
1	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	15 / 58	18 / 63	0 / 1	0

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights15

Sean Strickland

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights25