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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1488

Elo1494

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosvsOmari AkhmedovUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · Saturday, April 16, 2016Tampa, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:03

Style matchupElizeu Zaleski dos Santos: Pressure fightervsOmari Akhmedov: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Omari Akhmedov wins(60.8%)

Actual result: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Omari Akhmedov at -145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Red Corner

Omari Akhmedov

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-145

(59%)

1488

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Jun 23

vs Randy Brown · Jun 24

KOvs Zachary Scroggin · Nov 24

KOvs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 25

KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 25

latest

Omari Akhmedov

oldest →

vs Zak Cummings · Sep 19

vs Ian Heinisch · Dec 19

DECvs Chris Weidman · Aug 20

SUBvs Tom Breese · Jan 21

vs Brad Tavares · Jul 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosMetricOmari Akhmedov

4.16

Strikes / min

2.97

3.56

Strikes absorbed / min

2.84

55%

Strike defense

55%

0.79

TDs / 15 min

2.58

67%

Takedown defense

65%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.60evenly matched on net striking+0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosOmari Akhmedov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos(10 fights)Omari Akhmedov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -5.3|Blue +5.3

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +194.0|Blue -194.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosTargetOmari Akhmedov

By target zone

42% acc · 69%

Head

31% acc · 78%

78% acc · 25%

Body

55% acc · 17%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

50% acc · 6%

By position

35% acc · 49%

Distance

26% acc · 61%

80% acc · 50%

Clinch

79% acc · 31%

100% acc · 1%

Ground

60% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos rounds

even

Omari Akhmedov rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:56

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:26Control

Round 2Omari Akhmedov edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:59

15Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:52Control

Round 3Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged it

Sig. strikes51

Takedowns0

Control0:57

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

72 / 146

Sig Strikes

36 / 105

41.3%

Sig Str %

33%

78 / 152

Total Strikes

57 / 129

0 / 3

TDs

3 / 7

TD %

55.3%

Sub Att

Rev

2:52

Ctrl Time

1:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Omari Akhmedov	6 / 31	12 / 39	1 / 1	1
1	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	7 / 26	8 / 27	0 / 1	1
2	Omari Akhmedov	15 / 37	25 / 47	2 / 3	0
2	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	14 / 37	16 / 39	0 / 2	0
3	Omari Akhmedov	15 / 37	20 / 43	0 / 3	0
3	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	51 / 83	54 / 86	0 / 0	0

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights15

Omari Akhmedov

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights14