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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Muslim Salikhov won · S-DEC R3

Elo1488

Elo1507

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosvsMuslim SalikhovUFC Prediction Result

UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · Saturday, July 11, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Muslim Salikhov won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupElizeu Zaleski dos Santos: Pressure fightervsMuslim Salikhov: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins(61.9%)

Actual result: Muslim Salikhov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos at +108 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Red Corner

Muslim Salikhov

Blue Corner

+108

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-134

(57%)

1488

Elo

1507

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Jun 23

vs Randy Brown · Jun 24

KOvs Zachary Scroggin · Nov 24

KOvs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 25

KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 25

latest

Muslim Salikhov

oldest →

KOvs Randy Brown · Feb 24

vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jul 24

KOvs Song Kenan · Nov 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Jul 25

KOvs Uros Medic · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosMetricMuslim Salikhov

4.16

Strikes / min

3.37

3.56

Strikes absorbed / min

2.96

55%

Strike defense

62%

0.79

TDs / 15 min

1.07

67%

Takedown defense

72%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.60evenly matched on net striking+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosMuslim Salikhov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos(10 fights)Muslim Salikhov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -19.0|Blue +19.0

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +2.9|Blue -2.9

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +231.0|Blue -231.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosTargetMuslim Salikhov

By target zone

23% acc · 50%

Head

36% acc · 57%

44% acc · 24%

Body

57% acc · 20%

80% acc · 26%

Leg

90% acc · 23%

By position

28% acc · 76%

Distance

44% acc · 95%

75% acc · 7%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

80% acc · 17%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos rounds

even

Muslim Salikhov rounds

Round 1Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:10

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Muslim Salikhov edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:43

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 3Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 138

Sig Strikes

40 / 88

32.3%

Sig Str %

47.3%

46 / 138

Total Strikes

40 / 88

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 3

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:53

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Muslim Salikhov	14 / 23	14 / 23	0 / 1
1	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	20 / 50	20 / 50	0 / 1
2	Muslim Salikhov	13 / 27	13 / 27	0 / 2
2	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	9 / 41	9 / 41	0 / 3
3	Muslim Salikhov	13 / 38	13 / 38	0 / 0
3	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	17 / 47	17 / 47	0 / 0

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights15

Muslim Salikhov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14