Welterweight

3 Rounds

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won · U-DEC R3

Elo1488

Elo1470

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosvsMax GriffinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · Saturday, October 28, 2017Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupElizeu Zaleski dos Santos: Pressure fightervsMax Griffin: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins(60.7%)

Actual result: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Red Corner

Max Griffin

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1488

Elo

1470

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Jun 23

vs Randy Brown · Jun 24

KOvs Zachary Scroggin · Nov 24

KOvs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 25

KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 25

latest

Max GriffinL3 streak

oldest →

vs Michael Morales · Jul 23

vs Jeremiah Wells · Feb 24

SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 24

vs Chris Curtis · Jul 25

DECvs Victor Valenzuela · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosMetricMax Griffin

4.16

Strikes / min

3.70

3.56

Strikes absorbed / min

3.69

55%

Strike defense

58%

0.79

TDs / 15 min

1.44

67%

Takedown defense

69%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.60evenly matched on net striking+0.01

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosMax Griffin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos(10 fights)Max Griffin(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +18.1|Blue -18.1

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +2.3|Blue -2.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -259.0|Blue +259.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosTargetMax Griffin

By target zone

41% acc · 67%

Head

37% acc · 80%

68% acc · 23%

Body

40% acc · 16%

82% acc · 11%

Leg

67% acc · 4%

By position

38% acc · 50%

Distance

32% acc · 63%

70% acc · 39%

Clinch

52% acc · 25%

53% acc · 11%

Ground

75% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos rounds

even

Max Griffin rounds

Round 1Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:33

Knockdowns0

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Max Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:31

Knockdowns0

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control1:29

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

84 / 176

Sig Strikes

51 / 133

46%

Sig Str %

37.7%

94 / 186

Total Strikes

61 / 144

0 / 5

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:33

Ctrl Time

1:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Max Griffin	19 / 53	26 / 60	0 / 1
1	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	41 / 84	45 / 88	0 / 1
2	Max Griffin	20 / 43	22 / 46	0 / 0
2	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	15 / 37	17 / 39	0 / 3
3	Max Griffin	12 / 37	13 / 38	0 / 0
3	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	28 / 55	32 / 59	0 / 1

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights15

Max Griffin

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights19