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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won · U-DEC R3
Elo1488
Elo1546
Benoit Saint Denis editorial illustration

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosvsBenoit Saint DenisUFC Prediction Result

UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Saturday, October 30, 2021Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupElizeu Zaleski dos Santos: Pressure fightervsBenoit Saint Denis: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Benoit Saint Denis wins(57.9%)

Actual result: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Benoit Saint Denis at +220 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Benoit Saint Denis (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Red Corner
VS
Benoit Saint Denis
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
1488
Elo
1546
39
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Jun 23
L
vs Randy Brown · Jun 24
W
KOvs Zachary Scroggin · Nov 24
L
KOvs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 25
L
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 25
latest
Benoit Saint Denis
oldest →
W
SUBvs Kyle Prepolec · May 25
W
SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25
W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25
W
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26
L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosMetricBenoit Saint Denis
4.16
Strikes / min
5.62
3.56
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
55%
Strike defense
42%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
4.19
67%
Takedown defense
72%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60evenly matched on net striking+1.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1585 vs 1500Strikes4.3 vs 5.7Takedowns0.7 vs 4.8Sub Atts0.50 vs 1.50Form-0.2 vs 0.0
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosBenoit Saint Denis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701498152515531580← oldermost recent →
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos(10 fights)Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -57.6|Blue +57.6
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -47.1|Blue +47.1
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosTargetBenoit Saint Denis

By target zone

96
48% acc · 64%
Head
40
35% acc · 60%
37
88% acc · 25%
Body
20
74% acc · 30%
16
94% acc · 11%
Leg
7
100% acc · 10%

By position

112
54% acc · 75%
Distance
64
46% acc · 96%
32
68% acc · 21%
Clinch
3
43% acc · 4%
5
100% acc · 3%
Ground
0
0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos rounds
0
even
0
Benoit Saint Denis rounds
Round 1Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:18
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:58Control
Round 2Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes94
Takedowns0
Control0:27
28Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:25Control
Round 3Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control1:15
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
149 / 259
Sig Strikes
67 / 148
56%
Sig Str %
46%
167 / 279
Total Strikes
80 / 162
0 / 4
TDs
2 / 14
0%
TD %
15%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:00
Ctrl Time
1:55

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Benoit Saint Denis19 / 4521 / 471 / 40
1Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos30 / 5331 / 540 / 30
2Benoit Saint Denis28 / 6737 / 761 / 50
2Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos94 / 160106 / 1730 / 10
3Benoit Saint Denis20 / 3622 / 390 / 50
3Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos25 / 4630 / 520 / 00

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights15

Benoit Saint Denis

StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13