Skip to content
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Elizeu Dos Santos won · Decision R3
Elo1492
Elo1382

Elizeu Dos SantosvsAleksei KunchenkoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · Saturday, March 14, 2020Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil

Official fight result

Elizeu Dos Santos won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Elizeu Dos Santos wins(57.0%)

Actual result: Elizeu Dos Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Elizeu Dos Santos at -122 American odds

+$82 profit

$182 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Elizeu Dos Santos
Red Corner
VS
Aleksei Kunchenko
Blue Corner
-122
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+112
(47%)
1492
Elo
1382
33
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Elizeu Dos Santos
oldest →
L
KOvs Li Jingliang · Aug 19
latest
Aleksei Kunchenko
oldest →
W
vs Thiago Alves · Sep 18
W
vs Yushin Okami · Dec 18
L
vs Gilbert Burns · Aug 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Elizeu Dos SantosMetricAleksei Kunchenko
Strikes / min
3.67
Strikes absorbed / min
2.83
Strike defense
63%
TDs / 15 min
0.25
Takedown defense
80%
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1485 vs 1522Strikes4.2 vs 3.6Takedowns0.5 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.60 vs 0.00Form-0.9 vs -0.0
Elizeu Dos SantosAleksei Kunchenko

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Elizeu Dos Santos(2 fights)Aleksei Kunchenko(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +110.3|Blue -110.3
Recent Form
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Elizeu Dos Santos

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights1

Aleksei Kunchenko

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4