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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Milana Dudieva won · S-DEC R3
Elo1491
Elizabeth Phillips
Elo1358

Elizabeth PhillipsvsMilana DudievaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · Saturday, August 23, 2014Macau, China

Official fight result

Milana Dudieva won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Elizabeth Phillips wins(62.5%)

Actual result: Milana Dudieva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Elizabeth Phillips at +130 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Elizabeth Phillips has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Elizabeth Phillips has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Elizabeth Phillips
Red Corner
VS
Milana Dudieva
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
1491
Elo
1358
39
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'3"
165.1 cm
Reach
154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Elizabeth Phillips
oldest →
L
vs Valerie Letourneau · Jun 14
W
vs Jessamyn Duke · Jul 15
L
vs Raquel Pennington · Aug 16
latest
Milana DudievaL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Julianna Pena · Apr 15
L
KOvs Marion Reneau · Nov 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Elizabeth PhillipsMetricMilana Dudieva
2.60
Strikes / min
0.87
3.07
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
58%
Strike defense
58%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
2.34
53%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.47Δ 2.09 — meaningful gap-2.56

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1484 vs 1500Strikes67.0 vs Takedowns0.0 vs Sub Atts0.00 vs Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Elizabeth PhillipsMilana Dudieva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Elizabeth Phillips(4 fights)Milana Dudieva(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +132.1|Blue -132.1
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Elizabeth PhillipsTargetMilana Dudieva

By target zone

18
40% acc · 72%
Head
6
21% acc · 55%
3
60% acc · 12%
Body
5
63% acc · 45%
4
100% acc · 16%
Leg
0

By position

11
34% acc · 44%
Distance
6
20% acc · 55%
1
100% acc · 4%
Clinch
5
83% acc · 45%
13
62% acc · 52%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Elizabeth Phillips rounds
0
even
0
Milana Dudieva rounds
Round 1Elizabeth Phillips edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control1:14
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:45Control
Round 2Elizabeth Phillips edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control3:14
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Elizabeth Phillips edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control3:05
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:44Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
25 / 54
Sig Strikes
11 / 36
49%
Sig Str %
28%
51 / 83
Total Strikes
48 / 80
0 / 0
TDs
2 / 5
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
2
Rev
0
7:33
Ctrl Time
2:36

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Milana Dudieva3 / 167 / 221 / 20
1Elizabeth Phillips14 / 2717 / 300 / 00
2Milana Dudieva7 / 1431 / 430 / 20
2Elizabeth Phillips8 / 2225 / 410 / 00
3Milana Dudieva1 / 610 / 151 / 10
3Elizabeth Phillips3 / 59 / 120 / 00

Elizabeth Phillips

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights4

Milana Dudieva

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach
Fights3