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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Vladimir Matyushenko won · S-DEC R3

Elo1351

Elo1352

Eliot MarshallvsVladimir MatyushenkoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · Sunday, March 21, 2010Broomfield, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Vladimir Matyushenko won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Eliot Marshall wins(67.3%)

Actual result: Vladimir Matyushenko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Eliot Marshall at +145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Eliot Marshall

Red Corner

Vladimir Matyushenko

Blue Corner

+145

(41%)

Vegas Odds

-165

(62%)

1351

Elo

1352

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'0"

195.58 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eliot MarshallL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Luiz Cane · Mar 11

vs Brandon Vera · Oct 11

latest

Vladimir MatyushenkoL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jon Jones · Aug 10

KOvs Alexandre Ferreira · Nov 10

KOvs Jason Brilz · Apr 11

KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Dec 11

SUBvs Ryan Bader · Jan 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eliot MarshallMetricVladimir Matyushenko

1.93

Strikes / min

1.90

2.39

Strikes absorbed / min

1.62

67%

Strike defense

59%

0.47

TDs / 15 min

3.25

79%

Takedown defense

70%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Eliot MarshallVladimir Matyushenko

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Eliot Marshall(3 fights)Vladimir Matyushenko(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Eliot MarshallTargetVladimir Matyushenko

By target zone

13% acc · 58%

Head

18% acc · 46%

63% acc · 26%

Body

75% acc · 16%

Leg

79% acc · 54%

By position

20% acc · 100%

Distance

31% acc · 96%

Clinch

33% acc · 4%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Eliot Marshall rounds

even

Vladimir Matyushenko rounds

Round 1Vladimir Matyushenko edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

Round 2Vladimir Matyushenko edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 3Vladimir Matyushenko edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:22Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 97

Sig Strikes

28 / 91

19.7%

Sig Str %

30%

19 / 97

Total Strikes

35 / 98

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 3

—

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Vladimir Matyushenko	9 / 28	9 / 28	0 / 0
1	Eliot Marshall	6 / 28	6 / 28	0 / 0
2	Vladimir Matyushenko	6 / 28	11 / 33	1 / 1
2	Eliot Marshall	7 / 30	7 / 30	0 / 0
3	Vladimir Matyushenko	13 / 35	15 / 37	1 / 2
3	Eliot Marshall	6 / 39	6 / 39	0 / 0

Eliot Marshall

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights3

Vladimir Matyushenko

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights6