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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Rashid Magomedov won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1355

Elo1491

Elias SilveriovsRashid MagomedovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · Saturday, December 20, 2014Barueri, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Rashid Magomedov won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 4:57

Style matchupElias Silverio: Well-roundedvsRashid Magomedov: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Elias Silverio wins(67.0%)

Actual result: Rashid Magomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Elias Silverio at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Elias Silverio

Red Corner

Rashid Magomedov

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1355

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'9"

185.42 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Elias Silverio

oldest →

vs Joao Zeferino · Sep 13

vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Jan 14

SUBvs Ernest Chavez · May 14

vs Shane Campbell · Aug 15

latest

Rashid Magomedov

oldest →

vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Feb 14

vs Rodrigo Damm · May 14

vs Gilbert Burns · Nov 15

vs Beneil Dariush · Nov 16

vs Bobby Green · Apr 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Elias SilverioMetricRashid Magomedov

3.67

Strikes / min

4.40

2.97

Strikes absorbed / min

3.05

51%

Strike defense

54%

1.62

TDs / 15 min

0.67

85%

Takedown defense

89%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.70evenly matched on net striking+1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elias SilverioRashid Magomedov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Elias Silverio(5 fights)Rashid Magomedov(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -135.6|Blue +135.6

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Elias SilverioTargetRashid Magomedov

By target zone

23% acc · 23%

Head

48% acc · 57%

61% acc · 30%

Body

63% acc · 21%

76% acc · 46%

Leg

87% acc · 22%

By position

47% acc · 95%

Distance

53% acc · 79%

60% acc · 5%

Clinch

83% acc · 11%

Ground

69% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Elias Silverio rounds

even

Rashid Magomedov rounds

Round 1Rashid Magomedov edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 2Rashid Magomedov edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Round 3Rashid Magomedov edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:40Control

2Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 118

Sig Strikes

91 / 161

46.7%

Sig Str %

56%

57 / 119

Total Strikes

102 / 172

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 2

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:59

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rashid Magomedov	29 / 55	30 / 56	1 / 1
1	Elias Silverio	22 / 39	22 / 39	0 / 0
2	Rashid Magomedov	29 / 50	31 / 52	0 / 0
2	Elias Silverio	20 / 41	21 / 42	0 / 0
3	Rashid Magomedov	33 / 56	41 / 64	0 / 1
3	Elias Silverio	14 / 38	14 / 38	0 / 0

Elias Silverio

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5

Rashid Magomedov

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6