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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Leandro Silva won · U-DEC R3

Elo1357

Elo1358

Efrain EscuderovsLeandro SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · Saturday, November 21, 2015Monterrey, Nuevo Leon, Mexico

Official fight result

Leandro Silva won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Efrain Escudero wins(63.3%)

Actual result: Leandro Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Efrain Escudero at +130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Efrain Escudero

Red Corner

Leandro Silva

Blue Corner

+130

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-150

(60%)

1357

Elo

1358

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Efrain Escudero

oldest →

vs Mac Danzig · Apr 12

vs Leonardo Santos · Sep 14

vs Rodrigo de Lima · Feb 15

SUBvs Drew Dober · Jun 15

vs Kevin Lee · Apr 16

latest

Leandro SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Sep 14

SUBvs Charlie Brenneman · Nov 14

vs Lewis Gonzalez · Jun 15

vs Jason Saggo · Jun 16

vs Rustam Khabilov · Sep 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Efrain EscuderoMetricLeandro Silva

2.92

Strikes / min

2.39

2.30

Strikes absorbed / min

2.08

63%

Strike defense

63%

1.31

TDs / 15 min

1.76

66%

Takedown defense

65%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.62evenly matched on net striking+0.31

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Efrain EscuderoLeandro Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Efrain Escudero(9 fights)Leandro Silva(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Efrain EscuderoTargetLeandro Silva

By target zone

29% acc · 50%

Head

29% acc · 46%

58% acc · 29%

Body

56% acc · 43%

50% acc · 21%

Leg

67% acc · 11%

By position

30% acc · 50%

Distance

37% acc · 83%

29% acc · 8%

Clinch

60% acc · 17%

63% acc · 42%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Efrain Escudero rounds

even

Leandro Silva rounds

Round 1Leandro Silva edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:04

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

Round 2Efrain Escudero edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns2

Control3:56

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Leandro Silva edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:02

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 63

Sig Strikes

35 / 89

37.7%

Sig Str %

38.3%

56 / 101

Total Strikes

47 / 103

2 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

33.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:02

Ctrl Time

3:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Leandro Silva	15 / 37	15 / 37	0 / 0
1	Efrain Escudero	10 / 30	19 / 40	0 / 1
2	Leandro Silva	6 / 17	9 / 21	0 / 0
2	Efrain Escudero	10 / 19	21 / 34	2 / 2
3	Leandro Silva	14 / 35	23 / 45	0 / 0
3	Efrain Escudero	4 / 14	16 / 27	0 / 4

Efrain Escudero

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9

Leandro Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights7