Skip to content
Lightweight
3 Rounds
Efrain Escudero won · U-DEC R3
Elo1357
Efrain Escudero
Elo1490

Efrain EscuderovsDan LauzonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · Saturday, May 29, 2010Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Efrain Escudero won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEfrain Escudero: Well-roundedvsDan Lauzon: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Efrain Escudero wins(72.7%)

Actual result: Efrain Escudero wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Efrain Escudero at -400 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Efrain Escudero
Red Corner
VS
Dan Lauzon
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+355
(22%)
1357
Elo
1490
40
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
183 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Efrain EscuderoL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Leonardo Santos · Sep 14
W
vs Rodrigo de Lima · Feb 15
W
SUBvs Drew Dober · Jun 15
L
vs Leandro Silva · Nov 15
L
vs Kevin Lee · Apr 16
latest
Dan LauzonNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Efrain EscuderoMetricDan Lauzon
2.92
Strikes / min
1.34
2.30
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
63%
Strike defense
61%
1.31
TDs / 15 min
1.63
66%
Takedown defense
80%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
2.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.62Δ 3.37 — meaningful gap-2.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes21.0 vs 9.0Takedowns2.7 vs 1.5Sub Atts0.67 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.0
Efrain EscuderoDan Lauzon

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Efrain Escudero(9 fights)Dan Lauzon(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -133.3|Blue +133.3
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Efrain EscuderoTargetDan Lauzon

By target zone

40
27% acc · 63%
Head
10
15% acc · 59%
4
57% acc · 6%
Body
3
75% acc · 18%
20
69% acc · 31%
Leg
4
100% acc · 24%

By position

41
31% acc · 64%
Distance
15
23% acc · 88%
23
46% acc · 36%
Clinch
2
29% acc · 12%
0
0% acc
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Efrain Escudero rounds
0
even
0
Dan Lauzon rounds
Round 1Efrain Escudero edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:46
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Efrain Escudero edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:23
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:45Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Efrain Escudero edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:24
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
64 / 184
Sig Strikes
17 / 73
34%
Sig Str %
23%
67 / 187
Total Strikes
17 / 73
0 / 3
TDs
0 / 1
0%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:33
Ctrl Time
0:45

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dan Lauzon3 / 223 / 220 / 00
1Efrain Escudero14 / 4514 / 450 / 20
2Dan Lauzon4 / 134 / 130 / 10
2Efrain Escudero28 / 7130 / 730 / 10
3Dan Lauzon10 / 3810 / 380 / 00
3Efrain Escudero22 / 6823 / 690 / 00

Efrain Escudero

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9

Dan Lauzon

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach
Fights1