Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vicente Luque is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Joaquin Buckley has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joaquin Buckley (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vicente Luque
oldest →W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 23W
SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25L
vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25W
SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Apr 26 Joaquin BuckleyL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 24W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Oct 24W
KOvs Colby Covington · Dec 24L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jun 25L
DECvs Sean Brady · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vicente LuqueMetricJoaquin Buckley
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44evenly matched on net striking+0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Vicente LuqueJoaquin Buckley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vicente Luque(10 fights)Joaquin Buckley(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -11.6|Blue +11.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Vicente LuqueTargetJoaquin Buckley
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:09
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Joaquin Buckley edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
40Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:49Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
