Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Damir Hadzovic has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin Held
oldest →L
vs Diego Sanchez · Nov 16W
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Oct 17 Damir HadzovicL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Christos Giagos · Jun 19L
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Mar 20W
vs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 21L
vs Marc Diakiese · Jul 22L
KOvs Terrance McKinney · Feb 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin HeldMetricDamir Hadzovic
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.61evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marcin HeldDamir Hadzovic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Held(4 fights)Damir Hadzovic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -280.0|Blue +280.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marcin HeldTargetDamir Hadzovic
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Marcin Held edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control3:03
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Marcin Held edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns3
Control4:16
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
Round 3Damir Hadzovic edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
