Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Manvel Gamburyan has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Manvel GamburyanL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Sep 14W
vs Scott Jorgensen · Jul 15L
KOvs John Dodson · Apr 16L
KOvs Johnny Eduardo · Nov 16 latest Michihiro Omigawa
oldest →L
vs Darren Elkins · Jun 11L
vs Iuri Alcantara · Jan 12 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Manvel GamburyanMetricMichihiro Omigawa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.70evenly matched on net striking-1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Manvel GamburyanMichihiro Omigawa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Manvel Gamburyan(9 fights)Michihiro Omigawa(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +6.9|Blue -6.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +15.0|Blue -15.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Manvel GamburyanTargetMichihiro Omigawa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Michihiro Omigawa rounds
Round 1Michihiro Omigawa edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Manvel Gamburyan edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns2
Control3:03
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Manvel Gamburyan edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns4
Control1:36
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.