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Catch Weight

3 Rounds

Wang Cong won · U-DEC R3

Elo1562

Elo1503

Wang CongvsEduarda MouraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Saturday, February 7, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Wang Cong won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupWang Cong: Elusive strikervsEduarda Moura: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Wang Cong wins(64.3%)

Actual result: Wang Cong wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Wang Cong at -320 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Wang Cong enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Wang Cong (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Wang Cong

Red Corner

Eduarda Moura

Blue Corner

-320

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+260

(28%)

1562

Elo

1503

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Wang CongW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Victoria Leonardo · Aug 24

SUBvs Gabriella Fernandes · Nov 24

vs Bruna Brasil · Feb 25

vs Ariane da Silva · Jun 25

DECvs Tracy Cortez · Jul 26

latest

Eduarda MouraW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz · Nov 23

vs Denise Gomes · Jun 24

vs Veronica Hardy · Nov 24

vs Lauren Murphy · Jul 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Wang CongMetricEduarda Moura

6.22

Strikes / min

2.57

2.19

Strikes absorbed / min

2.50

63%

Strike defense

58%

0.78

TDs / 15 min

3.58

84%

Takedown defense

80%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+4.03Δ 3.96 — meaningful gap+0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Wang CongEduarda Moura

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Wang Cong(6 fights)Eduarda Moura(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +59.6|Blue -59.6

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Wang CongTargetEduarda Moura

By target zone

41% acc · 41%

Head

36% acc · 100%

75% acc · 38%

Body

0% acc

67% acc · 21%

Leg

By position

47% acc · 59%

Distance

38% acc · 92%

71% acc · 26%

Clinch

33% acc · 8%

75% acc · 15%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Wang Cong rounds

even

Eduarda Moura rounds

Round 1Wang Cong edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:57

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:57Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Eduarda Moura edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:03

0Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:31Control

Round 3Wang Cong edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control2:11

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:38Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 71

Sig Strikes

12 / 34

59.3%

Sig Str %

30%

147 / 195

Total Strikes

40 / 70

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 12

—

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

3:11

Ctrl Time

8:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Eduarda Moura	8 / 24	15 / 33	2 / 4	0
1	Wang Cong	26 / 46	48 / 74	0 / 0	0
2	Eduarda Moura	0 / 3	17 / 25	1 / 2	1
2	Wang Cong	3 / 4	54 / 61	0 / 0	0
3	Eduarda Moura	4 / 7	8 / 12	0 / 6	0
3	Wang Cong	10 / 21	45 / 60	0 / 0	1

Wang Cong

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights6

Eduarda Moura

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights5