Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Lauzon threatens submissions; Curt Warburton has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Joe Lauzon has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Curt Warburton has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Lauzon
oldest →L
KOvs Clay Guida · Nov 17L
KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18W
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 19 Curt Warburton
oldest →L
vs Spencer Fisher · Oct 10W
vs Maciej Jewtuszko · Feb 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe LauzonMetricCurt Warburton
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.55Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joe LauzonCurt Warburton
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Lauzon(10 fights)Curt Warburton(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joe LauzonTargetCurt Warburton
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joe Lauzon edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:27
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
