Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jessica Penne enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joanna Jedrzejczyk has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Joanna Jedrzejczyk has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joanna JedrzejczykL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Tecia Torres · Jul 18L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Dec 18W
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 19L
KOvs Zhang Weili · Jun 22 Jessica PenneL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Loopy Godinez · Apr 21W
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Aug 21L
vs Emily Ducote · Jul 22L
SUBvs Tabatha Ricci · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joanna JedrzejczykMetricJessica Penne
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+3.03Δ 5.45 — meaningful gap-2.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joanna JedrzejczykJessica Penne
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joanna Jedrzejczyk(10 fights)Jessica Penne(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -64.3|Blue +64.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -92.0|Blue +92.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joanna JedrzejczykTargetJessica Penne
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Joanna Jedrzejczyk rounds
Round 1Joanna Jedrzejczyk edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control1:00
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:39Control
Round 2Joanna Jedrzejczyk edged it
Sig. strikes57
Takedowns0
Control0:39
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:25Control
Round 3Joanna Jedrzejczyk edged it
Sig. strikes46
Takedowns0
Control0:07
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
