Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Hernandez is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Diego Ferreira has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander Hernandez
oldest →L
vs Damon Jackson · Apr 24W
vs Austin Hubbard · Oct 24W
vs Kurt Holobaugh · Mar 25W
KOvs Chase Hooper · Aug 25L
DECvs Rafa Garcia · Apr 26 Diego Ferreira
oldest →L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · May 21L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Dec 21W
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 23W
KOvs Mateusz Rebecki · May 24L
vs Grant Dawson · Jan 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander HernandezMetricDiego Ferreira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.22Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap+1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexander HernandezDiego Ferreira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Hernandez(10 fights)Diego Ferreira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +34.5|Blue -34.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -210.0|Blue +210.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexander HernandezTargetDiego Ferreira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Alexander Hernandez rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Alexander Hernandez edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:12
Knockdowns1
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
