Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Johnny Munoz threatens submissions; Nate Maness has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Johnny Munoz has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Nate Maness has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Johnny MunozL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Jamey Simmons · Aug 21L
KOvs Tony Gravely · Jun 22W
vs Liudvik Sholinian · Nov 22L
vs Daniel Santos · Jun 23 Nate ManessW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Tony Gravely · Sep 21L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jun 22L
SUBvs Tagir Ulanbekov · Nov 22W
KOvs Mateus Mendonca · Oct 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Johnny MunozMetricNate Maness
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.22evenly matched on net striking-0.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Johnny MunozNate Maness
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Johnny Munoz(6 fights)Nate Maness(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -27.4|Blue +27.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Johnny MunozTargetNate Maness
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Johnny Munoz edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control3:16
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Johnny Munoz edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control2:46
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:38Control
Round 3Johnny Munoz edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control3:40
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:51Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
