Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Axel Sola has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rhys McKee has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Axel Sola (53.5%).
- Rhys McKee has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Axel Sola
oldest →W
SUBvs Ismael Bonfim · Jul 26 Rhys McKee
oldest →L
KOvs Khamzat Chimaev · Jul 20L
vs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 24W
KOvs Daniel Frunza · Apr 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Axel SolaMetricRhys McKee
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.22Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap-2.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Axel SolaRhys McKee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Axel Sola(3 fights)Rhys McKee(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +36.8|Blue -36.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.7|Blue -49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Axel SolaTargetRhys McKee
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Axel Sola edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control2:11
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Axel Sola edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:51
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Axel Sola edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
