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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Eduarda Moura won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1503

Elo1471

Eduarda MouravsMontserrat Conejo RuizUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Saturday, November 4, 2023Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Eduarda Moura won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:14

Model Prediction: Eduarda Moura wins(82.9%)

Actual result: Eduarda Moura wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Eduarda Moura has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Eduarda Moura has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Montserrat Conejo Ruiz (53.5%).
Eduarda Moura has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Eduarda Moura

Red Corner

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1503

Elo

1471

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'0"

170.18 cm

Reach

154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eduarda Moura

oldest →

vs Denise Gomes · Jun 24

vs Veronica Hardy · Nov 24

vs Lauren Murphy · Jul 25

vs Wang Cong · Feb 26

latest

Montserrat Conejo RuizL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jaqueline Amorim · Aug 23

vs Alice Ardelean · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eduarda MouraMetricMontserrat Conejo Ruiz

2.57

Strikes / min

2.21

2.50

Strikes absorbed / min

6.19

58%

Strike defense

44%

3.58

TDs / 15 min

1.75

80%

Takedown defense

44%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.07Δ 4.05 — meaningful gap-3.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Eduarda MouraMontserrat Conejo Ruiz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Eduarda Moura(5 fights)Montserrat Conejo Ruiz(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +31.5|Blue -31.5

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Grappler Score

Red +49.4|Blue -49.4

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Eduarda MouraTargetMontserrat Conejo Ruiz

By target zone

73% acc · 96%

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 4%

Body

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 100%

By position

42% acc · 9%

Distance

23% acc · 100%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

80% acc · 89%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Eduarda Moura rounds

even

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz rounds

Round 1Eduarda Moura edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns2

Control4:23

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Eduarda Moura edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns1

Control1:34

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 77

Sig Strikes

5 / 22

73.5%

Sig Str %

22.5%

102 / 139

Total Strikes

9 / 29

3 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:57

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Montserrat Conejo Ruiz	3 / 12	7 / 18	0 / 0
1	Eduarda Moura	32 / 40	70 / 92	2 / 2
2	Montserrat Conejo Ruiz	2 / 10	2 / 11	0 / 0
2	Eduarda Moura	25 / 37	32 / 47	1 / 1

Eduarda Moura

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights5

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz

StanceSouthpaw

Height60.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights3