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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Denise Gomes won · S-DEC R3

Elo1503

Elo1539

Eduarda MouravsDenise GomesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Saturday, June 8, 2024Louisville, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Denise Gomes won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEduarda Moura: WrestlervsDenise Gomes: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Eduarda Moura wins(58.4%)

Actual result: Denise Gomes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Denise Gomes enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Eduarda Moura has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Eduarda Moura

Red Corner

Denise Gomes

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1503

Elo

1539

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'2"

170.18 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eduarda Moura

oldest →

KOvs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz · Nov 23

vs Veronica Hardy · Nov 24

vs Lauren Murphy · Jul 25

vs Wang Cong · Feb 26

latest

Denise GomesW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Yazmin Jauregui · Jul 23

vs Angela Hill · Nov 23

vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Nov 24

KOvs Elise Reed · May 25

vs Tecia Pennington · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eduarda MouraMetricDenise Gomes

2.57

Strikes / min

4.43

2.50

Strikes absorbed / min

3.16

58%

Strike defense

51%

3.58

TDs / 15 min

1.45

80%

Takedown defense

66%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.07Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap+1.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Eduarda MouraDenise Gomes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Eduarda Moura(5 fights)Denise Gomes(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -35.9|Blue +35.9

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Eduarda MouraTargetDenise Gomes

By target zone

30% acc · 67%

Head

41% acc · 38%

80% acc · 22%

Body

73% acc · 44%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

75% acc · 18%

By position

31% acc · 67%

Distance

52% acc · 62%

83% acc · 28%

Clinch

77% acc · 34%

50% acc · 6%

Ground

33% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Eduarda Moura rounds

even

Denise Gomes rounds

Round 1Eduarda Moura edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns2

Control3:11

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:48Control

Round 2Denise Gomes edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns2

Control1:58

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:20Control

Round 3Denise Gomes edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control1:27

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 47

Sig Strikes

50 / 88

46%

Sig Str %

53.7%

27 / 66

Total Strikes

137 / 184

5 / 26

TDs

0 / 1

18.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

6:36

Ctrl Time

2:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Denise Gomes	7 / 16	32 / 47	0 / 1	1
1	Eduarda Moura	4 / 11	9 / 25	2 / 9	0
2	Denise Gomes	21 / 37	69 / 88	0 / 0	0
2	Eduarda Moura	5 / 7	9 / 12	2 / 9	0
3	Denise Gomes	22 / 35	36 / 49	0 / 0	0
3	Eduarda Moura	9 / 29	9 / 29	1 / 8	0

Eduarda Moura

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights5

Denise Gomes

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights8