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Featherweight

5 Rounds

Giga Chikadze won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1480

Elo1477

Edson BarbozavsGiga ChikadzeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · Saturday, August 28, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Giga Chikadze won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:44

Style matchupEdson Barboza: Pressure fightervsGiga Chikadze: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Giga Chikadze wins(72.3%)

Actual result: Giga Chikadze wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Giga Chikadze at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Giga Chikadze enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Edson Barboza

Red Corner

Giga Chikadze

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+105

(49%)

1480

Elo

1477

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Edson BarbozaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23

vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23

vs Lerone Murphy · May 24

vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25

KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25

latest

Giga ChikadzeL3 streak

oldest →

vs Calvin Kattar · Jan 22

vs Alex Caceres · Aug 23

vs Arnold Allen · Jul 24

vs David Onama · Apr 25

KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Edson BarbozaMetricGiga Chikadze

4.14

Strikes / min

3.75

4.68

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

55%

Strike defense

59%

0.43

TDs / 15 min

0.18

73%

Takedown defense

65%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.54evenly matched on net striking+0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Edson BarbozaGiga Chikadze

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Edson Barboza(10 fights)Giga Chikadze(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.1|Blue -3.1

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Edson BarbozaTargetGiga Chikadze

By target zone

21% acc · 45%

Head

39% acc · 52%

67% acc · 30%

Body

73% acc · 27%

80% acc · 24%

Leg

87% acc · 22%

By position

35% acc · 100%

Distance

50% acc · 93%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Edson Barboza rounds

even

Giga Chikadze rounds

Round 1Giga Chikadze edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Giga Chikadze edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Giga Chikadze edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:41Control

2Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 95

Sig Strikes

60 / 117

33.7%

Sig Str %

54%

33 / 95

Total Strikes

70 / 128

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Giga Chikadze	17 / 43	17 / 43	0 / 0	0
1	Edson Barboza	10 / 26	10 / 26	0 / 0	0
2	Giga Chikadze	22 / 47	22 / 47	0 / 0	0
2	Edson Barboza	19 / 56	19 / 56	0 / 0	0
3	Giga Chikadze	21 / 27	31 / 38	0 / 0	2
3	Edson Barboza	4 / 13	4 / 13	0 / 0	0

Edson Barboza

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights32

Giga Chikadze

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights12