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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Drakkar Klose won · U-DEC R3

Elo1480

Elo1513

Edson BarbozavsDrakkar KloseUFC Prediction Result

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Saturday, August 16, 2025Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Drakkar Klose won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEdson Barboza: Pressure fightervsDrakkar Klose: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Drakkar Klose wins(74.4%)

Actual result: Drakkar Klose wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Drakkar Klose at -104 American odds

+$96 profit

$196 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Edson Barboza is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Drakkar Klose has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Edson Barboza has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Edson Barboza

Red Corner

Drakkar Klose

Blue Corner

-112

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-104

(51%)

1480

Elo

1513

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'9"

190.5 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Edson BarbozaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Bryce Mitchell · Mar 22

KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23

vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23

vs Lerone Murphy · May 24

KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25

latest

Drakkar Klose

oldest →

KOvs Brandon Jenkins · Apr 22

vs Rafa Garcia · Jul 22

KOvs Joe Solecki · Dec 23

vs Joaquim Silva · May 24

KOvs Joel Alvarez · Dec 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Edson BarbozaMetricDrakkar Klose

4.14

Strikes / min

4.25

4.68

Strikes absorbed / min

3.65

55%

Strike defense

49%

0.43

TDs / 15 min

1.49

73%

Takedown defense

69%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.54Δ 1.14 — meaningful gap+0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Edson BarbozaDrakkar Klose

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Edson Barboza(10 fights)Drakkar Klose(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -33.7|Blue +33.7

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +210.0|Blue -210.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Edson BarbozaTargetDrakkar Klose

By target zone

41% acc · 37%

Head

45% acc · 66%

84% acc · 45%

Body

67% acc · 11%

72% acc · 18%

Leg

80% acc · 23%

By position

54% acc · 80%

Distance

48% acc · 81%

93% acc · 20%

Clinch

77% acc · 19%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Edson Barboza rounds

even

Drakkar Klose rounds

Round 1Edson Barboza edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control1:26

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:33Control

Round 2Drakkar Klose edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control1:02

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:40Control

Round 3Edson Barboza edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control1:22

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

71 / 120

Sig Strikes

53 / 102

58.7%

Sig Str %

50.3%

73 / 122

Total Strikes

147 / 209

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:50

Ctrl Time

2:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Drakkar Klose	15 / 29	68 / 89	0 / 1
1	Edson Barboza	24 / 36	26 / 38	0 / 0
2	Drakkar Klose	25 / 44	50 / 75	0 / 0
2	Edson Barboza	18 / 38	18 / 38	0 / 0
3	Drakkar Klose	13 / 29	29 / 45	0 / 1
3	Edson Barboza	29 / 46	29 / 46	0 / 0

Edson Barboza

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights32

Drakkar Klose

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights12