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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Edson Barboza won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1480

Edson BarbozavsBeneil DariushUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · Saturday, March 11, 2017Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil

Official fight result

Edson Barboza won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:35

Style matchupEdson Barboza: Pressure fightervsBeneil Dariush: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Beneil Dariush wins(51.1%)

Actual result: Edson Barboza wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Beneil Dariush at +140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Edson Barboza is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Beneil Dariush has lost 88% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Beneil Dariush (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Edson Barboza

Red Corner

Beneil Dariush

Blue Corner

-160

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+140

(42%)

1480

Elo

1480

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Edson BarbozaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23

vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23

vs Lerone Murphy · May 24

vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25

KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25

latest

Beneil DariushL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23

vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25

KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Edson BarbozaMetricBeneil Dariush

4.14

Strikes / min

3.74

4.68

Strikes absorbed / min

2.63

55%

Strike defense

57%

0.43

TDs / 15 min

2.21

73%

Takedown defense

82%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.54Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap+1.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Edson BarbozaBeneil Dariush

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Edson Barboza(10 fights)Beneil Dariush(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Edson BarbozaTargetBeneil Dariush

By target zone

21% acc · 43%

Head

33% acc · 61%

76% acc · 43%

Body

67% acc · 20%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

83% acc · 20%

By position

36% acc · 97%

Distance

41% acc · 94%

Clinch

60% acc · 6%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Edson Barboza rounds

even

Beneil Dariush rounds

Round 1Beneil Dariush edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:02

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 82

Sig Strikes

51 / 121

36%

Sig Str %

41.5%

31 / 83

Total Strikes

51 / 121

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Beneil Dariush	28 / 67	28 / 67	0 / 1
1	Edson Barboza	16 / 45	17 / 46	0 / 0
2	Beneil Dariush	23 / 54	23 / 54	0 / 1
2	Edson Barboza	14 / 37	14 / 37	0 / 0

Edson Barboza

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights32

Beneil Dariush

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights24