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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Francimar Barroso won · U-DEC R3

Elo1352

Elo1364

Ednaldo OliveiravsFrancimar BarrosoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · Saturday, August 3, 2013Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Francimar Barroso won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Francimar Barroso wins(67.5%)

Actual result: Francimar Barroso wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Francimar Barroso at +110 American odds

+$110 profit

$210 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Francimar Barroso has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Ednaldo Oliveira has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ednaldo Oliveira

Red Corner

Francimar Barroso

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1352

Elo

1364

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'5"

Height

6'1"

200.66 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ednaldo Oliveira

oldest →

SUBvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Jan 12

latest

Francimar BarrosoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Elvis Mutapcic · Jan 16

SUBvs Nikita Krylov · May 16

vs Darren Stewart · Mar 17

vs Aleksandar Rakic · Sep 17

vs Gian Villante · Jan 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ednaldo OliveiraMetricFrancimar Barroso

1.03

Strikes / min

2.77

1.80

Strikes absorbed / min

3.07

52%

Strike defense

59%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.22

42%

Takedown defense

83%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.77evenly matched on net striking-0.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ednaldo OliveiraFrancimar Barroso

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ednaldo Oliveira(2 fights)Francimar Barroso(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -11.2|Blue +11.2

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ednaldo OliveiraTargetFrancimar Barroso

By target zone

21% acc · 68%

Head

25% acc · 32%

56% acc · 26%

Body

88% acc · 23%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

93% acc · 45%

By position

16% acc · 47%

Distance

39% acc · 61%

63% acc · 26%

Clinch

83% acc · 32%

63% acc · 26%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ednaldo Oliveira rounds

even

Francimar Barroso rounds

Round 1Francimar Barroso edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:06

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Francimar Barroso edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:34

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:03Control

Round 3Francimar Barroso edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control1:33

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:36Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 71

Sig Strikes

31 / 63

28.7%

Sig Str %

52.3%

30 / 84

Total Strikes

69 / 103

0 / 1

TDs

2 / 5

TD %

41.5%

Sub Att

Rev

3:13

Ctrl Time

3:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Francimar Barroso	12 / 29	15 / 32	0 / 0
1	Ednaldo Oliveira	5 / 32	5 / 32	0 / 0
2	Francimar Barroso	11 / 22	30 / 41	1 / 2
2	Ednaldo Oliveira	10 / 28	18 / 38	0 / 0
3	Francimar Barroso	8 / 12	24 / 30	1 / 3
3	Ednaldo Oliveira	4 / 11	7 / 14	0 / 1

Ednaldo Oliveira

StanceOrthodox

Height77.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Francimar Barroso

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8