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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Nassourdine Imavov won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1513

Elo1541

Edmen ShahbazyanvsNassourdine ImavovUFC Prediction Result

UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · Saturday, November 6, 2021New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Nassourdine Imavov won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:52

Style matchupEdmen Shahbazyan: Well-roundedvsNassourdine Imavov: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Nassourdine Imavov wins(57.6%)

Actual result: Nassourdine Imavov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nassourdine Imavov at -120 American odds

+$83 profit

$183 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Nassourdine Imavov has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Edmen Shahbazyan

Red Corner

Nassourdine Imavov

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1513

Elo

1541

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Edmen Shahbazyan

oldest →

SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 24

KOvs Dylan Budka · Feb 25

vs Andre Petroski · Jun 25

KOvs Andre Muniz · Oct 25

DECvs Brendan Allen · Jun 26

latest

Nassourdine ImavovW5 streak

oldest →

vs Roman Dolidze · Feb 24

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jun 24

vs Brendan Allen · Sep 24

KOvs Israel Adesanya · Feb 25

vs Caio Borralho · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Edmen ShahbazyanMetricNassourdine Imavov

3.80

Strikes / min

4.28

3.60

Strikes absorbed / min

3.17

49%

Strike defense

58%

1.62

TDs / 15 min

0.74

66%

Takedown defense

81%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.20evenly matched on net striking+1.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Edmen ShahbazyanNassourdine Imavov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Edmen Shahbazyan(10 fights)Nassourdine Imavov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -28.2|Blue +28.2

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Edmen ShahbazyanTargetNassourdine Imavov

By target zone

53% acc · 45%

Head

63% acc · 81%

50% acc · 18%

Body

80% acc · 10%

100% acc · 36%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

61% acc · 86%

Distance

48% acc · 38%

67% acc · 9%

Clinch

83% acc · 12%

100% acc · 5%

Ground

88% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Edmen Shahbazyan rounds

even

Nassourdine Imavov rounds

Round 1Edmen Shahbazyan edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control1:43

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

Round 2Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:51

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:17Control

Fight Stats

Totals

22 / 35

Sig Strikes

42 / 63

57.5%

Sig Str %

66.5%

29 / 43

Total Strikes

64 / 87

1 / 5

TDs

0 / 1

16.5%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:34

Ctrl Time

3:56

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Nassourdine Imavov	18 / 31	25 / 39	0 / 0	1
1	Edmen Shahbazyan	17 / 24	21 / 29	1 / 3	0
2	Nassourdine Imavov	24 / 32	39 / 48	0 / 1	3
2	Edmen Shahbazyan	5 / 11	8 / 14	0 / 2	0

Edmen Shahbazyan

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights15

Nassourdine Imavov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11