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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Edmen Shahbazyan won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1513
Edmen Shahbazyan
Elo1472

Edmen ShahbazyanvsDylan BudkaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Saturday, February 15, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Edmen Shahbazyan won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:35

Model Prediction: Edmen Shahbazyan wins(72.9%)

Actual result: Edmen Shahbazyan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Edmen Shahbazyan at -720 American odds

+$14 profit

$114 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Edmen Shahbazyan is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Dylan Budka has lost 67% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Dylan Budka (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Edmen Shahbazyan
Red Corner
VS
Dylan Budka
Blue Corner
-720
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+520
(16%)
1513
Elo
1472
28
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'2"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Edmen Shahbazyan
oldest →
W
KOvs AJ Dobson · Mar 24
L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 24
W
vs Andre Petroski · Jun 25
W
KOvs Andre Muniz · Oct 25
L
DECvs Brendan Allen · Jun 26
latest
Dylan BudkaL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Cesar Almeida · Apr 24
L
vs Andre Petroski · Sep 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Edmen ShahbazyanMetricDylan Budka
3.80
Strikes / min
1.06
3.60
Strikes absorbed / min
1.80
49%
Strike defense
42%
1.62
TDs / 15 min
1.93
66%
Takedown defense
76%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.20evenly matched on net striking-0.74

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1514 vs 1467Strikes3.8 vs 1.1Takedowns1.6 vs 1.9Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.40Form-0.2 vs -1.0
Edmen ShahbazyanDylan Budka

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601480150015201540← oldermost recent →
Edmen Shahbazyan(10 fights)Dylan Budka(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +41.0|Blue -41.0
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Edmen ShahbazyanTargetDylan Budka

By target zone

5
38% acc · 71%
Head
1
8% acc · 100%
2
100% acc · 29%
Body
0
0% acc
0
Leg
0

By position

6
50% acc · 86%
Distance
1
6% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
1
33% acc · 14%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Edmen Shahbazyan rounds
0
even
0
Dylan Budka rounds
Round 1Edmen Shahbazyan edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
7 / 15
Sig Strikes
1 / 16
46%
Sig Str %
6%
7 / 15
Total Strikes
1 / 16
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:03
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dylan Budka1 / 161 / 160 / 00
1Edmen Shahbazyan7 / 157 / 150 / 00

Edmen Shahbazyan

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights15

Dylan Budka

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3